[OFFICIAL] Winrates, bankrolls, and finances - Page 44 - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

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[OFFICIAL] Winrates, bankrolls, and finances

View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr

Less than 0 (losing)

5 6.41%

0-2.5

0 0%

2.5-5

6 7.69%

5-7.5

8 10.26%

7.5-10

15 19.23%

10+

26 33.33%

Not enough sample size/I don't know

18 23.08%

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Last

02-03-2012 , 02:18 AM

#1076

Michaelson

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2003 Posts: 4,375

Quote:

Originally Posted by Midnight Cowboy

That is the most horrific 2/5 downswing I've ever seen. Can't even call it a downswing, that is straight up tilting!

I play 2/5 usually. That was a private 5/5 game with a mandatory straddle that could be as big as you like and still live. i.e. 5/5/50 wasn't too uncommon.

The upswing started on 2/5, where I won 7k in a session. Then 4k at the above mentioned game. Then bang, bang -10k in two sessions.

Two brutal hands still keeping me awake at night. Coulda been all uptick...

Last edited by Michaelson; 02-03-2012 at 02:25 AM.

Quote

02-03-2012 , 02:20 AM

#1077

Pay4Myschool

Haz Chuck Norris 4 Dad

Join Date: Nov 2010 Posts: 7,462

Quote:

Originally Posted by sluggger5x

lol. What is the bankroll guideline for 2/5 live? I would do it alot more but the nearest 2/5 games are in Detroit 1.5 hours from me. 10k br is enough?

yes 10k is more than enough for a 2-3 BI shot (i.e. one bad day of cards for shot taking and move down to replenish and rinse and repeat till u crush). and docs is in livonia and they have a 2/5 2 days a week. If you live NW of detroit it makes it a bit easier of a drive, more like 1 hour from you I would think. Also heidleburg in ann arbor on tuesday nights

Quote

02-04-2012 , 11:29 PM

#1078

Cosminelu

enthusiast

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 98

Let's say you're an average player, fixing leaks over time...
If I were to grind 150-200 h / month, could I have losing months (due to variance) ? 200 h at 30 hands/h means 6k hands, online that's nothing...what about live ? I'm asking because If I can win double than a normal job, I'll start playing live as a part-time job...
£ 1/1 game

Quote

02-05-2012 , 12:15 AM

#1079

fun101

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 2,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by fun101

this is pretty much all 1/2, i only played 2/5 for about 4 hours in this period and only won like $300 at 2/5. The first 2 months I did not keep track of sessions but i know my profit and I think I played approximatly 65 hours (I am highballing it, its probally more like 50) each month.
X-axis title: Hours
Y-axis title: Profit ($)

this was followed by a 70 hour breakeven stretch...fml

Quote

02-05-2012 , 12:18 AM

#1080

TAOxEaglex

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 1,583

Fun101: There's no friggin way you earn $55 an hour. Am I reading that wrong?

Quote

02-05-2012 , 12:22 AM

#1081

fun101

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 2,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by TAOxEaglex

Fun101: There's no friggin way you earn $55 an hour. Am I reading that wrong?

no u r not...i play in a very soft 1/2 game with $500 max buyin

Quote

02-05-2012 , 12:30 AM

#1082

TAOxEaglex

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2011 Posts: 1,583

So if you played 1/2 full time you would earn six figures? Holy crap.

Where is this game and how do I sign up?

Quote

02-05-2012 , 12:39 AM

#1083

fun101

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 2,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by TAOxEaglex

So if you played 1/2 full time you would earn six figures? Holy crap.

Where is this game and how do I sign up?

like i said that run was followed by a 70 hour breakeven run. I am sure I could live off 1/2 if i did it fulltime tho. The game is in Alberta, Canada, i posted more details in this thread http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/54...onths-1117486/

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02-05-2012 , 12:42 AM

#1084

PokahBlows

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 3,999

At 50hrs a month, noway you ever made that much an hour. Not even one full month at 50 an hour.

"100K year winrate at 1/2, that's first time I've heard that one gee".

Quote

02-05-2012 , 12:52 AM

#1085

fun101

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 2,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by PokahBlows

At 50hrs a month, noway you ever made that much an hour. Not even one full month at 50 an hour.

"100K year winrate at 1/2, that's first time I've heard that one gee".

50*50*12=$30,000

Quote

02-05-2012 , 02:16 AM

#1086

4th an 1

grinder

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 420

Lol fun101, 50$+ winrates at 1-2 is super unsustainable for alot of reasons

Quote

02-05-2012 , 02:24 AM

#1087

fun101

veteran

Join Date: Oct 2010 Posts: 2,237

Quote:

Originally Posted by 4th an 1

Lol fun101, 50$+ winrates at 1-2 is super unsustainable for alot of reasons

ya ofc...like i said earlier it was an amazing run and after which i had a 70 hours breakeven stretch.

Quote

02-05-2012 , 04:23 PM

#1088

Randizzle

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 152

Is it possible to avg $20/hr at $1/$2 where the rake is $5 max + $1 BBJ if pot > $20. Max/Min Buyin $200/$60.

I don't play much live and was just wondering what the general consensus would be with regard to these conditions. I'm having a hard time avg $15/hr right now. Although it's with a small sample + I'm not always playing in prime hrs (fri/sat nights).

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02-05-2012 , 04:37 PM

#1089

PokahBlows

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2011 Posts: 3,999

Quote:

Originally Posted by Randizzle

Its tough to have a 10bb hour winrate in any game. 5-7bbs is crushing imo.

Quote

02-05-2012 , 04:48 PM

#1090

LolPony

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 4,126

Quote:

Originally Posted by Randizzle

Yes it's possible

Quote

02-05-2012 , 05:25 PM

#1091

bubonicplay

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 3,932

What's a good sample size for 1-2 500 max?

I'm thinking at least 200 hours right before you get an idea of your hourly?

Quote

02-05-2012 , 05:28 PM

#1092

LolPony

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 4,126

Quote:

Originally Posted by bubonicplay

What's a good sample size for 1-2 500 max?

I'm thinking at least 200 hours right before you get an idea of your hourly?

My WR around 200 hrs is quite a bit smaller than it is now :O
Maybe around 600ish hours?
Lol, no idea.

Quote

02-05-2012 , 05:30 PM

#1093

SeaUlater

banned

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 4,797

Quote:

Originally Posted by LolPony

Yes it's possible

At $200 max BI and $6 combined rake?

$20+/hr? Only if you play on the weekend and table select the crap out of the game.

Quote

02-05-2012 , 05:45 PM

#1094

LolPony

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 4,126

Quote:

Originally Posted by SeaUlater

At $200 max BI and $6 combined rake?

$20+/hr? Only if you play on the weekend and table select the crap out of the game.

So then what would you say the min hours required to find out around what your hourly will be?

Quote

02-05-2012 , 05:59 PM

#1095

SeaUlater

banned

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 4,797

Quote:

Originally Posted by LolPony

So then what would you say the min hours required to find out around what your hourly will be?

500 hours for someone that plays professionally during mostly weekdays is very different than someone that played 500 hours recreationally on the weekend.

Plus there are several other factors involved. For example, a 1/2 game with same BI and rake structure in a room with average of 2-3 games will be very different than a room with average of upwards of 10 games. Location is also important, if there are several casinos within short distance such as Vegas, then the game will also be more profitable.

Whether you can sustain $20+/hr or 10BB+ isn't as simple as comparing stake or calculate the number of hours played alone.

Last edited by SeaUlater; 02-05-2012 at 06:08 PM.

Quote

02-05-2012 , 06:07 PM

#1096

LolPony

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 4,126

Quote:

Originally Posted by SeaUlater

500 hours for someone that plays professionally during mostly weekdays is very different than someone that played 500 hours recreationally on the weekend.

So your question isn't implying a fair comparison for the conclusion you want to make.

What? I'm not trying to make any conclusion lol.
If you think there is a difference for weekday play and weekend play when it comes to hours played to see an guesstimation representation of your hourly then why not just say both?

Obv play on the weekend will yield higher results, but what does this have to do with the ~number of hours to get your hourly?

Quote

02-05-2012 , 06:10 PM

#1097

SeaUlater

banned

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 4,797

Quote:

Originally Posted by LolPony

Obv play on the weekend will yield higher results, but what does this have to do with the ~number of hours to get your hourly?

You're telling me that 500 hours with mostly weekend hours will yield the same win rate as 500 hours with mostly weekday hours?

I mean I get it, you're special, but don't think that your result is a baseline of some sort.

Quote

02-05-2012 , 06:15 PM

#1098

LolPony

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 4,126

God everyone on these forums is so defensive. Like every post is an attack.
I blatantly said "obv play on the weekend will yield higher results".

I guess what I'm asking is that, If 500 is the baseline hours to get your average hourly on weekdays why would it be any different than on weekends (regardless of the winrate being higher)? Because the variance would be lower/higher on weekday/weekend, so you'd need more hours?

Quote

02-05-2012 , 06:17 PM

#1099

SeaUlater

banned

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 4,797

Weekend win rate per hour is higher, and weekday is lower.

So if 400 out of the 500 hours are played on the weekend and 100 on the weekday, the win rate of that sample size will be higher than the opposite.

400 x 25 = 10000

100 x 15 = 1500.

10000 + 1500 = 11500, and 11500 / 500 = 23/hr.

100 x 25 = 2500.

400 x 15 = 6000.

2500 + 6000 = 8500, and 8500 / 500 = 17/hr.

It's just plain math, I don't get what you're asking.