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Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Winrates, bankrolls, and finances
View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr
Less than 0 (losing)
5 6.41%
0-2.5
0 0%
2.5-5
6 7.69%
5-7.5
8 10.26%
7.5-10
15 19.23%
10+
26 33.33%
Not enough sample size/I don't know
18 23.08%

06-24-2015 , 09:45 AM
13k is plenty to at least shot take a good looking 2/5
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 02:02 PM
Gg congrats and good to hear. Johnny nice job. Bluffing for like 700 profit in one session dayAm wtf man that's crazy.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 02:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Randal_Graves
13k is plenty to at least shot take a good looking 2/5
Yea. I can relate to johnny, I think he's comfortable crushing 1-2 and is content with the game there. Not a bankroll thing.

I have the same mental "leak". I think it's def a leak, the skill/income plateau is much higher at 2/5 but 1-2 is comfortable, fun and easy.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 02:36 PM
Is $13,000 really isn't enough for $500 2/5 games? In reality how much would you lose until you dropped down in stakes? Wouldn't that amount be your true 2/5 bankroll?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 03:00 PM
Probably depends if that bankroll is your all-I-have-to-my-name liferoll versus easily replenishable pocket change.

GplayingwithmypocketchangeG
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 04:38 PM
13k is definitely enough to shot take 2/5, even as a total roll. I mean if you run well the first session or two, you may never look back. If that becomes the case, how much money are you losing now playing 1/2 or 1/3?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 04:51 PM
I guess any amount where if you lose 100bb still leaves you with a comfortable roll for your main game is enough for shot-taking imo, as long as you think you have the reasonable skills to beat the game you're shot-taking.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 05:10 PM
For me personally, it's not really about shot taking. I am fairly confident I could take shots at 2/5 and play a watered down version of my game that is considerably tighter, not chasing as small of edges, etc. and achieve a small(er) winrate compared to 1/2, but I have no desire to do that.

In my mind, I have a mental checklist of skills and competencies I want to achieve/master at 1/2 before moving up. I want the peripheral edges, non-ABC "moves," attacking weaknesses, recognizing when opponents are bet/folding, capped at one-pair, which scare cards are good to bluff, my bluffing frequency, etc. type situations I encounter at 1/2 to be so ingrained into my muscle memory that when I move up to 2/5 I have no fear and just trust my instincts and experiences when deciding to take a course of action.

I've got a few more books to read. I have lots of experimentation to try regarding lightening my 3! range to the point the table hates me (based on a BalugaWhale seminar video which is gold); and I still have some other leaks in my game I am looking to plug.

Running around $30-32/hr but I think the potential is there to cross the $40/hr barrier and maybe even $45-50/hr by cutting down on some mistakes and working on my check list. It may be a bit ambitious or unrealistic but since I'm not playing for income right now and my poker roll is separate from my life roll I don't feel the need to aggressively shot take other than for ego.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 08:25 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
For me personally, it's not really about shot taking. I am fairly confident I could take shots at 2/5 and play a watered down version of my game that is considerably tighter, not chasing as small of edges, etc. and achieve a small(er) winrate compared to 1/2, but I have no desire to do that.

In my mind, I have a mental checklist of skills and competencies I want to achieve/master at 1/2 before moving up. I want the peripheral edges, non-ABC "moves," attacking weaknesses, recognizing when opponents are bet/folding, capped at one-pair, which scare cards are good to bluff, my bluffing frequency, etc. type situations I encounter at 1/2 to be so ingrained into my muscle memory that when I move up to 2/5 I have no fear and just trust my instincts and experiences when deciding to take a course of action.

I've got a few more books to read. I have lots of experimentation to try regarding lightening my 3! range to the point the table hates me (based on a BalugaWhale seminar video which is gold); and I still have some other leaks in my game I am looking to plug.

Running around $30-32/hr but I think the potential is there to cross the $40/hr barrier and maybe even $45-50/hr by cutting down on some mistakes and working on my check list. It may be a bit ambitious or unrealistic but since I'm not playing for income right now and my poker roll is separate from my life roll I don't feel the need to aggressively shot take other than for ego.
How many hours are you at to be running at that hourly? I am in that same range over 500 hours and wasn't sure if I am just crushing my 1/2 games(uncapped buyin), or I am just running super hot. It's hard to be objective.

I also feel the same way about taking shots at 2/5, it is much more emotionally tough to make the moves you KNOW you can make for $200 bluffs rather than $500 bluffs
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 09:38 PM
Play 5/T and T/20 some and then you will never have an issue making big bluffs at 2/5.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 09:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ohmyrage
How many hours are you at to be running at that hourly? I am in that same range over 500 hours and wasn't sure if I am just crushing my 1/2 games(uncapped buyin), or I am just running super hot. It's hard to be objective.

I also feel the same way about taking shots at 2/5, it is much more emotionally tough to make the moves you KNOW you can make for $200 bluffs rather than $500 bluffs
Uncapped 1/2 is not quite 1/2.

Reason why most standard of crushing at whatever stake is 10bb/hr is because most games are 40 - 100bb BI limits and most players at the table have average of 60 - 80bb.

Uncapped games would increase both average BI and average players' chip stacks at the table, making it much more likely to achieve higher WR.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-24-2015 , 11:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
For me personally, it's not really about shot taking. I am fairly confident I could take shots at 2/5 and play a watered down version of my game that is considerably tighter, not chasing as small of edges, etc. and achieve a small(er) winrate compared to 1/2, but I have no desire to do that.

In my mind, I have a mental checklist of skills and competencies I want to achieve/master at 1/2 before moving up. I want the peripheral edges, non-ABC "moves," attacking weaknesses, recognizing when opponents are bet/folding, capped at one-pair, which scare cards are good to bluff, my bluffing frequency, etc. type situations I encounter at 1/2 to be so ingrained into my muscle memory that when I move up to 2/5 I have no fear and just trust my instincts and experiences when deciding to take a course of action.

I've got a few more books to read. I have lots of experimentation to try regarding lightening my 3! range to the point the table hates me (based on a BalugaWhale seminar video which is gold); and I still have some other leaks in my game I am looking to plug.

Running around $30-32/hr but I think the potential is there to cross the $40/hr barrier and maybe even $45-50/hr by cutting down on some mistakes and working on my check list. It may be a bit ambitious or unrealistic but since I'm not playing for income right now and my poker roll is separate from my life roll I don't feel the need to aggressively shot take other than for ego.
2/5 is a completely different beast altogether compared to 1/2. It requires a different skill set. Something that will come with experience at that level. You can master 1/2 as much as you want, but the skills that you need for crushing 2/5 will only develop once you make the transition.

If you have access to enough 2/5 games, then there's no reason to not make the transition. Unless bankroll is an issue. You will see an immediate increase in your hourly win-rate, and it will get better with time and experience.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 12:30 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bip!
I went through the same downswing 3X in succession... that pretty much took all of 2014 . Good news is - once you run hot again there is no lingering effects... it lol feels like you'll never lose again.
winners tilt => new downswing

Quote:
Originally Posted by RelentlessDoubt
Is $13,000 really isn't enough for $500 2/5 games? In reality how much would you lose until you dropped down in stakes? Wouldn't that amount be your true 2/5 bankroll?
Depends if he insists on buying in for the max.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 01:45 AM
hate to break it to you johnnybuz but its highly improbable that you or anyone can achieve 40$/hour in 1/2, also your true win rate is much more likely to be around 20$ instead of 30-32
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 02:11 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by D.M.O.U.
hate to break it to you johnnybuz but its highly improbable that you or anyone can achieve 40$/hour in 1/2, also your true win rate is much more likely to be around 20$ instead of 30-32
Paging mr. wj94 for win rate check
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 02:25 AM
wj94 is the greatest 1/2 player in Vegas that has never moved up.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 08:42 AM
I finally hit 500+ hours of tracked results last night. This is only 1/2 and 1/3, $300 max buyin. I only play once a week, for 5-6 hours per session, aside from the 1/year vacation to the casino where I log 12 hours/day for 4-5 days.



I think my winrate is reflective of table selection skills and controlling momentum with an adaptable LAG style.

Here are the individual sessions:

Date Hours Profit Running Hours Running Profit
8/28/2013 5.43 $1.00 5.43 $1.00
9/5/2013 6.70 ($309.00) 12.13 ($308.00)
9/5/2013 4.50 $303.00 16.63 ($5.00)
9/6/2013 8.35 ($8.00) 24.98 ($13.00)
9/6/2013 0.85 ($135.00) 25.83 ($148.00)
9/7/2013 2.77 ($273.00) 28.60 ($421.00)
9/7/2013 2.02 $238.00 30.62 ($183.00)
9/7/2013 5.77 $832.00 36.39 $649.00
9/7/2013 2.80 $860.00 39.19 $1,509.00
9/8/2013 9.30 $507.00 48.49 $2,016.00
9/8/2013 10.07 $701.00 58.56 $2,717.00
9/9/2013 5.12 ($100.00) 63.68 $2,617.00
9/9/2013 5.57 $150.00 69.25 $2,767.00
9/18/2013 5.62 $430.00 74.87 $3,197.00
9/25/2013 5.42 $410.00 80.29 $3,607.00
10/2/2013 5.68 ($277.00) 85.97 $3,330.00
10/23/2013 4.95 $610.00 90.92 $3,940.00
10/30/2013 4.28 ($300.00) 95.20 $3,640.00
11/13/2013 5.70 $60.00 100.90 $3,700.00
11/20/2013 5.35 ($112.00) 106.25 $3,588.00
12/4/2013 6.17 $40.00 112.42 $3,628.00
12/11/2013 5.85 ($100.00) 118.27 $3,528.00
12/18/2013 6.32 $256.00 124.59 $3,784.00
1/15/2014 4.10 $700.00 128.69 $4,484.00
1/22/2014 5.00 $270.00 133.69 $4,754.00
1/29/2014 5.10 $629.00 138.79 $5,383.00
2/5/2014 5.10 $545.00 143.89 $5,928.00
2/19/2014 5.17 $170.00 149.06 $6,098.00
2/26/2014 5.25 $169.00 154.31 $6,267.00
3/5/2014 4.67 ($985.00) 158.98 $5,282.00
3/12/2014 4.78 ($35.00) 163.76 $5,247.00
3/19/2014 5.13 $1.00 168.89 $5,248.00
3/26/2014 5.65 $363.00 174.54 $5,611.00
4/2/2014 5.42 ($196.00) 179.96 $5,415.00
4/9/2014 6.03 $955.00 185.99 $6,370.00
4/16/2014 5.73 $1,016.00 191.72 $7,386.00
4/24/2014 5.08 ($77.00) 196.80 $7,309.00
4/30/2014 5.30 $576.00 202.10 $7,885.00
5/7/2014 4.92 $675.00 207.02 $8,560.00
5/21/2014 5.97 $655.00 212.99 $9,215.00
5/28/2014 4.83 $285.00 217.82 $9,500.00
6/4/2014 5.58 $1,570.00 223.40 $11,070.00
6/11/2014 4.73 $745.00 228.13 $11,815.00
6/18/2014 5.65 $1,080.00 233.78 $12,895.00
6/25/2014 6.12 ($580.00) 239.90 $12,315.00
7/2/2014 4.85 ($510.00) 244.75 $11,805.00
7/9/2014 5.92 $970.00 250.67 $12,775.00
7/16/2014 5.65 ($190.00) 256.32 $12,585.00
7/23/2014 4.55 $282.00 260.87 $12,867.00
7/30/2014 5.67 ($442.00) 266.54 $12,425.00
8/6/2014 5.82 $390.00 272.36 $12,815.00
8/20/2014 4.85 $455.00 277.21 $13,270.00
8/27/2014 4.78 $725.00 281.99 $13,995.00
9/24/2014 5.10 ($500.00) 287.09 $13,495.00
10/1/2014 5.00 ($500.00) 292.09 $12,995.00
10/8/2014 4.88 $77.00 296.97 $13,072.00
10/15/2014 5.58 ($325.00) 302.55 $12,747.00
10/22/2014 5.50 $280.00 308.05 $13,027.00
10/29/2014 4.83 $96.00 312.88 $13,123.00
11/5/2014 5.53 ($435.00) 318.41 $12,688.00
11/12/2014 4.88 $510.00 323.29 $13,198.00
11/19/2014 5.00 $93.00 328.29 $13,291.00
11/25/2014 4.53 ($500.00) 332.82 $12,791.00
12/3/2014 4.38 $445.00 337.20 $13,236.00
12/10/2014 5.38 $535.00 342.58 $13,771.00
12/17/2014 3.38 ($800.00) 345.96 $12,971.00
12/22/2014 5.05 $767.00 351.01 $13,738.00
1/14/2015 5.68 $1,230.00 356.69 $14,968.00
1/21/2015 5.85 $100.00 362.54 $15,068.00
1/28/2015 5.35 $365.00 367.89 $15,433.00
2/4/2015 5.27 $1,492.00 373.16 $16,925.00
2/11/2015 5.45 $51.00 378.61 $16,976.00
2/18/2015 6.00 $65.00 384.61 $17,041.00
2/26/2015 6.33 $1,100.00 390.94 $18,141.00
2/27/2015 3.10 $260.00 394.04 $18,401.00
2/27/2015 1.95 ($132.00) 395.99 $18,269.00
2/28/2015 0.62 $0.00 396.61 $18,269.00
2/28/2015 8.57 $1,500.00 405.18 $19,769.00
3/4/2015 4.72 ($450.00) 409.90 $19,319.00
3/11/2015 5.47 $375.00 415.37 $19,694.00
3/18/2015 6.18 $1,092.00 421.55 $20,786.00
3/25/2015 6.58 $560.00 428.13 $21,346.00
4/1/2015 5.12 $985.00 433.25 $22,331.00
4/8/2015 5.32 $350.00 438.57 $22,681.00
4/15/2015 5.53 $455.00 444.10 $23,136.00
4/22/2015 5.92 $550.00 450.02 $23,686.00
4/29/2015 5.32 ($800.00) 455.34 $22,886.00
5/2/2015 5.18 $140.00 460.52 $23,026.00
5/6/2015 2.87 ($900.00) 463.39 $22,126.00
5/13/2015 5.18 $260.00 468.57 $22,386.00
5/20/2015 5.45 $1,855.00 474.02 $24,241.00
5/27/2015 5.00 $300.00 479.02 $24,541.00
6/3/2015 5.43 $632.00 484.45 $25,173.00
6/10/2015 5.18 $1,940.00 489.63 $27,113.00
6/16/2015 5.55 $510.00 495.18 $27,623.00
6/24/2015 5.38 $825.00 500.57 $28,448.00

Sorry for the datadump wall of text but thought some might care to look through for some statistics that I haven't calculated.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 09:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
Just dug myself out of my second biggest downwsing @ 1/3 NL.

As a once-a-week rec player, these downswings sure do take some time to dig out of. Ha, good thing I didn't start like this out of the gate or I'm guessing I could have easily given up before even getting started.
Very nice gg. I ran through a downswing like that over a year ago, and I ended up walking away from the game for over a year. Even now, I probably average one session per month. But I'm having a lot more fun being a BE rec player and playing whatever stakes I want just for the pure entertainment of the game.

I tip my cap to your perseverance.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 09:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by D.M.O.U.
hate to break it to you johnnybuz but its highly improbable that you or anyone can achieve 40$/hour in 1/2, also your true win rate is much more likely to be around 20$ instead of 30-32
Max BI is also $300 at my room for 1/2. So if $20/hr at $200 max is considered crushing does that make $30/hr at $300 max long-term sustainable?

I don't think I am doing anything special to attain this win-rate right now. Wouldn't say I'm on a heater or anything. I just try to avoid mistakes at all costs, rarely get felted (unless it's a missed draw or something), don't chase marginal spots and routinely fold top-pair when it becomes obvious (to me at least) that it's no good.

Money saved is money earned and I see a lot of regs that I think could be "good" but they make at least one horrible call for their stack every session that destroys hours of decent play.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 09:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
Max BI is also $300 at my room for 1/2. So if $20/hr at $200 max is considered crushing does that make $30/hr at $300 max long-term sustainable?

I don't think I am doing anything special to attain this win-rate right now. Wouldn't say I'm on a heater or anything. I just try to avoid mistakes at all costs, rarely get felted (unless it's a missed draw or something), don't chase marginal spots and routinely fold top-pair when it becomes obvious (to me at least) that it's no good.

Money saved is money earned and I see a lot of regs that I think could be "good" but they make at least one horrible call for their stack every session that destroys hours of decent play.
I think this is spot on, also if you are able to table/game select to find regs you can exploit the hell out of, or cut out of bad games easily, $30/hr+ should be sustainable.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 09:59 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkeyCopter
I think this is spot on, also if you are able to table/game select to find regs you can exploit the hell out of, or cut out of bad games easily, $30/hr+ should be sustainable.
Or withhold a tip to record a $1 session?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 10:44 AM
lol, that was actually at a self-deal game.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 12:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
Max BI is also $300 at my room for 1/2. So if $20/hr at $200 max is considered crushing does that make $30/hr at $300 max long-term sustainable?
Most people don't understand that average BI, average stacks at the table, time of the day, and day of the week all contribute to WR.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 12:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Parker
Most people don't understand that average BI, average stacks at the table, time of the day, and day of the week all contribute to WR.
I guess other caveats include that I table change to tables with average stacks of $200+ if I get stuck at a short stacking table and my sessions usually take place from 9pm - 3am so I am usually involved in games that start getting loose and gambooly late night. A lot of nights I'll be stuck early and then clean up in the last hour or two. It sucks going to work the next day on a few hours of sleep but hey, it's necessary sometimes.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
06-25-2015 , 12:47 PM
Sounds like it is possible.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote

      
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