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Originally Posted by LolPony
Bad players don't know how to adjust to a 250bb stack and play it the same way if they had 100bb.
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Also being deep lets us play way more aggressive, because we have more fold equity. Playing more aggressively = more swings.
These two statements contradict oneanother. Either they do adjust, and we have more fold equity, or they do not adjust and we have the same fold equity.
My opinion is that they do not adjust, meaning that our unsuccessful big bluffs are going to be more costly. This increases variance.
playing speculative hands does not inherently make for swingier results.
For example, lets say we're playing 400bbs deep. Ok, we decide can cold call a raise from position with a hand like 57ss for our great implied odds.
Its not like this is a terribly high variance spot. We are usually going to miss and lose our initial preflop investment. Hopefully, occasionally, we are going to nail it hard and get paid off big enough to justify our pf investment. But this is not the sort of situation that makes for monster swings one way or the other.
However, the main reason i think playing shorter increases our variance is the way it effects how we play our value hands. In general,
Consider a situation where we have a hand like AKo otb. There is a MP raise and we 3B and are called. The flop comes KT2
If this hand plays out with 100bb effective stacks, we are getting our stack in by the river fairly frequently.
However, with say 400bb eff stacks, we are at least have to think about a PC line here, no? That is to say, i must play value hands more cautiously. And it becomes very difficult to play hands for thin value on early streets. I don't consider myself a nit in any way, but in a typical llnl game I am almost never felting a 400bb stack unless there is some kind of cooler involved.
This said, i consider my game fairly tight aggressive generally, which means it is focused primarily on value hands. I can see how this might not necessarily apply as much to LAG players.