Quote:
Originally Posted by browni3141
Just imagine that a 12BB/h winner has about the same chance of breaking even over the course of 500 hours as winning at 24BB/h. I don't recall ever having a 500 hour breakeven stretch, and I'm not a 12BB/h winner.
So I used the pokerdope variance calc and according to that, the odds of breaking even over 500 hrs (15000 hands) with a 12bb/hr winrate is 0.05%. I used a 150bb/100 standard dev. Got that number from Ryan Fee's estimates of live variance. Odds are the same for having a 24bb/hr win rate
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
I could be wrong, but I believe he plays in L.A. The games in L.A. are crazy soft. Soft like Ive never seen before....but nobody can beat 2/5 for $120/hr. Not even in L.A.
From what I saw out there I do believe $75-85/hr is possible. Maybe even a tad more, but $120? I dont believe it. No disrespect to Typesick at all though. He's clearly a beast to do that for even 500 hours.
I grind LA. Always hear it's softer than other places, but I really think that's exaggerated. For example, my 1k cap 5/5 game from Sunday had me and two other full time pros in it. There was a hand full of BE middle-aged types, and maybe just one person with zero clue. I wish I had other places to compare my experience to, but the only other places I've played were Venitian and Aria. I can say that the Aria games were pretty ****ty, but what I saw at Venitian didn't really differ greatly from what I see at the Bicycle on a regular basis. Furthermore, the Euro infestation here seems to get slightly worse every day. I mean, on average, it seems like ~8% of the playerpool here is made of foreign grinders. So sure, if you table select and only play Friday and Saturday nights, you might be able to beat $75/hr, but if you're putting in full-time hours, that's basically impossible.
Finally, @Typesick... really really, really fantastic results. Almost unbelievable, I'd say. It could be that I'm just jealous, but if your results continue and can somehow be verified, I'd pay you a handsome hourly for coaching.