[OFFICIAL] Winrates, bankrolls, and finances - Page 742 - Live Low-stakes No Limit Poker Forum

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[OFFICIAL] Winrates, bankrolls, and finances

View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr

Less than 0 (losing)

5 6.41%

0-2.5

0 0%

2.5-5

6 7.69%

5-7.5

8 10.26%

7.5-10

15 19.23%

10+

26 33.33%

Not enough sample size/I don't know

18 23.08%

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04-11-2017 , 09:04 PM

#18526

spikeraw22

The Situation

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 8,741

If you're rolled than you can play. You may want to evaluate if you're a winner after a while.

I'd rather win at $1/2 than break even at $2/5.

Quote

04-11-2017 , 09:12 PM

#18527

1.618

Verified Coach NLHE

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 406

Quote:

Originally Posted by bmoney

So question. When shot taking, how do you know when to stop shot taking and when to move up to that stake?

Just curious.

You should stop when:

1) Your slurring your speech (nobody can figure out what your betting means)
2) You think your a good dancer (weaving your way through each hand like Durrrr)
3) Using cheesy pick up lines (your confidence is high)
4) Craving Taco Bell (your hungry for more chips)

Quote

04-12-2017 , 07:30 AM

#18528

bmoney

adept

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 830

Quote:

Originally Posted by 23LBJ23

well played

Quote

04-12-2017 , 12:58 PM

#18529

Angrist

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 3,887

Last 2 sessions, +$700 in 7.1 hours

3 sessions before that, -$728 in 10.8 hours.

Gotta love the day to day $1000 volatility in $1/2 results.

Quote

04-12-2017 , 02:20 PM

#18530

gobbledygeek

Poet Laureate of LLSNL

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 36,138

Quote:

Originally Posted by Angrist

Last 2 sessions, +$700 in 7.1 hours

3 sessions before that, -$728 in 10.8 hours.

Gotta love the day to day $1000 volatility in $1/2 results.

Only down $28 overall, nice, I read that as a brag.

Gwouldbeabragformein2017G

Quote

04-12-2017 , 02:55 PM

#18531

Angrist

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 3,887

Quote:

Originally Posted by gobbledygeek

Only down $28 overall, nice, I read that as a brag.

Gwouldbeabragformein2017G

Still down $73.50 for the year

It's a good thing I enjoy this game.

Quote

04-12-2017 , 03:17 PM

#18532

1.618

Verified Coach NLHE

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 406

Quote:

Originally Posted by bmoney

well played

Ty.

Quote

04-12-2017 , 03:45 PM

#18533

gobbledygeek

Poet Laureate of LLSNL

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 36,138

Quote:

Originally Posted by Angrist

Still down $73.50 for the year

Again with the brags, give us a break!

Gstuck$718fortheyear,lolz@pokerG

Quote

04-12-2017 , 04:15 PM

#18534

Angrist

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Sep 2011 Posts: 3,887

Quote:

Originally Posted by gobbledygeek

Again with the brags, give us a break!

Gstuck$718fortheyear,lolz@pokerG

I haven't told you how much I've spent on hookers and blow this year

Aiwasstuck$800fortheyeartwodaysagoT

Quote

04-12-2017 , 04:23 PM

#18535

spikeraw22

The Situation

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 8,741

I'm in the midst of an upswing. Now making just a shade under $20/hr at 1/2 for the year. Since a good chunk of my time has been Day grandpa games downtown I think that's probably crushing it despite about a month of ridiculously bad play.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 02:34 AM

#18536

doUgolf

newbie

Join Date: Mar 2016 Posts: 43

Hey guys I have been playing live $1/2 for the past 8 months a few days a week while I attend college. I have kept track of my winnings as well as losses and how many hours long each session was. So far I have put in a total of 324 hours and I have netted a profit of $8,294 or $25.60 per hour. My question is, is 324 hours enough to get a good idea of what my hourly win rate should be or should I look at it closer to 500-1k hours?

Quote

04-15-2017 , 02:41 AM

#18537

Rich Checkmaker

banned

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 2,441

3k hours. gj so far keep it up.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 04:37 AM

#18538

MK7749

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 2,173

goodjob man. thats actually harder then you think.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 05:41 AM

#18539

ibelieveyouoweme$80k

LLSNL FF Champ '13

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 12,868

you'll never get your real win rate.

you're off to a good start. but 324 hours is a month for some players, two months for most regs.

quit poker and concentrate on school.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 06:33 AM

#18540

Chicagodude

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 2,810

that's fantastic! congratulations to you sir, keep it up. I've heard the w/r reported in 1000 hour increments usually but you rock!

Quote

04-15-2017 , 06:45 AM

#18541

Chicagodude

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2013 Posts: 2,810

stay in school and stay in poker!

Quote

04-15-2017 , 09:10 AM

#18542

Tilltard

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 337

Quote:

Originally Posted by ibelieveyouoweme$80k

you'll never get your real win rate.

you're off to a good start. but 324 hours is a month for some players, two months for most regs.

quit poker and concentrate on school.

Some players play 12 hours 24/7?

Why even bothering to answer the question if this is your response? He's clearly not going to quit something that's made him high 4 figures as a part time job, so why bother? He gained literally nothing from your post.

Some solid advise would be to continue to put in hours so long as it doesn't interfere with his schooling and doesn't become a problem if he goes on a downswong.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 09:21 AM

#18543

spikeraw22

The Situation

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 8,741

Check out GG's winrate info. Over 1000 hr samples his win rate has fluctuated wildly. You can't even tell for sure if you're actually a winner over that sample size. If you assume 25 hands/hr that's a shade over 8,000 hands. Anything can happen in that time and it won't really paint a good picture of how you're doing.

With that said, it's a fine start that any of us would take. Keep doing what you're doing.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 10:42 AM

#18544

Dream Crusher

banned

Join Date: Mar 2016 Posts: 18,786

I'd say that winrates aren't important at all and all but that would upset the blowhards ITT. 324 hours is 2 months for professional poker players..a bit more than 2 months for most of them. It looks like you are off to a good start so just look to continue to improve and you should be fine.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 11:34 AM

#18545

Garick

Oberbiergenießer

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 26,514

Search this thread for "95% confidence interval" and input your observed results to the formula. It will give you a plus or minus from your observed results that your "true winrate" falls somewhere within 95% of the time. More hours tightens that range a ton.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 11:39 AM

#18546

spikeraw22

The Situation

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 8,741

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joker of Poker

I was up $48 over 19 hours at 1/2 this year, I only get to play live a few times per month. I decided to step up to 2/5 last night, I short stacked with $200, did so well, played all night, and won $1350! so my winrate now is like super high lol variance

They're respecting your raises obviously.

Quote

04-15-2017 , 12:27 PM

#18547

nicname

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 647

Quote:

Originally Posted by spikeraw22

They're respecting your raises obviously.

Ha! I used this line the other night to a guy. He was diarrhea of the mouth, super-poker lingo, constantly dropping mentions of playing higher stakes etc. At one point he says to me (apparently he thought I was decent enough to undestand):

That's why I'd just assume play 2-5 or higher -- too many recreational players in these games to really beat the game.

It said, "Yeah, have to move up to where they respect your raises."

Then he added something in about the rake.

I was entertained.