Quote:
Originally Posted by cAmmAndo
Running into the bottom of villain ranges in 500 BB pots is hardly variance free poker.
Clearly, but rarely will you have the opportunity to play a pot that big at 2/5 having the opponent drawing dead or nearly dead with only one pair, which goes back to the skill gap and the bad situations people will put themselves in at 1/2 which you simply don't see at the Parx 2/5, in my opinion of course.
Allow me to clarify "variance free" since it was the wrong choice of words.
- At 1/2, you are constantly winning small to medium sized pots and chipping up. Very rarely will you see large all-in confrontations between two stacks >300 BB's deep, and if you do you should assume you have a huge edge in the pot. The variance you see in a 1/2 game differs dramatically from the variance you see in a 2/5 game. Not enough players are willing or able to play deep stacked that the swings you exhibit are much more mellow and manageable.
- At 2/5, you are constantly chipping up, but so are the other strong players at the table. And the entire night becomes an arms race to accumulate 300-400 BB stacks that culminate in strong range vs. strong draw confrontations for 3k+ pots.
The fact of the matter is, it is very easy to recover from "not running well" at 1/2 because there are always new opportunities right around the corner to accumulate chips and you are almost never stacking off in huge pots without very nutted ranges. At 2/5, and this is based on my experience and the enormous downswing I went on, you simply have to "run well" in your huge all-in pots where you are a large +EV favorite or you are going to get crushed.
I had to bite my tongue and chuckle to myself when many people said they didn't think a 15k downswing was possible at 200 BB cap 2/5. It's very easy to run far below EV over a sample of 20 all-in hands. When those all-in hands happen to be massive 2k+ pots than 15k will sneak up on you before you can blink. It was a blistering quick two weeks in March for me but it was enough to convince me that anyone that thinks 20k is a sufficient BR to be playing 2/5 full-time is out of their ****ing mind.
Last edited by johnnyBuz; 07-05-2016 at 01:00 PM.