Quote:
Originally Posted by eldiesel
The first bolded I failed to mention but that's part of my argument. The second is worded a lot better than I worded it.
And the dynamics changing leads into the following...
That all those bolded are just guesses. It takes 1 hand for 100BB to be added to the table. An old guy raise/called pre with T9 and got ai on a 987 board yesterday. I would have said that's a preflop fold for him every time. I guess he got bored and played it to the death. You're going to assume he's loose and raise/calling all SCs pre? All it takes is one guy playing 60/50 to create big stacks, you're going to assume all 9 guys are playing those stats? And most often the players sitting on the biggest stacks are the tight guys taking advantage of the loose ones. And in toursit cities guys leave all the time before they want to because of concerts/dinners/wives, you can't think they're playing a 12 hour session.
So I'd prefer 2 nits on a table, both on my left, giving me the button 33% of hands, and the other types of players and their stack sizes aren't really important.
At 2-5 maybe, I don't know. At 1-3 most guys who would be vulnerable to this are the nits who start with $150 who are on my left and I don't even play hands against. The exploitable guys are the guys to value and way too often I see someone try to raise draws or raise as a pure bluff or get allin with TPNK and these are the fkcn worst way to play back at these spots. The best ways are to wait for fat value hands.
1. poker is a guessing game. you take the line you believe is going to be most profitable with the incomplete information you have. Just saying, in my experience, deep stacks = action table. You can always change again if it's wrong.
Your anecdote supports my theory however. If you're looking at players and not stack sizes you would say "oh old nitty guy, I don't want to be there". But old guy is tilted or something and loosened up for whatever reason. Best way to find out would be scout the action for 15 minutes but that's just not realistic. Stack depth is much faster and a pretty good predictive statistic.
2. actually the deep stacks are mostly going to be looser players, since it's easier to get a deep stack playing more hands (easier to lose a stack playing more hands too of course)
besides, tight != good. There are always going to be tight players. I'd rather they be deeper if they must be there.
I'm not even saying "most chips is always the best table". But you need to find out what the best table is as fast as possible. Stack depth is the easiest thing to spot and the deepest table is the best table more often than not.
3. it's true you can't know when players are leaving but... that goes for all players. 30 minutes at the best table is better than 0 minutes there. Again, you can always get another table change if things go sour.
4. your belief that there's only one correct way to play at low stakes based on what you've seen of bad aggressive or outright spewy players is very wrong. There is no reason a good player should pass on profitable spots and just "wait for a hand". Unless you are getting three streets of value whenever you desire, there is a way to exploit players in your game folding, even if you can't figure it out.
You're right that having two nits on your left is a good thing but picking a juicy table is by far more important. Worry about seat selection once you've got table selection sorted.