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Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Winrates, bankrolls, and finances
View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr
Less than 0 (losing)
5 6.41%
0-2.5
0 0%
2.5-5
6 7.69%
5-7.5
8 10.26%
7.5-10
15 19.23%
10+
26 33.33%
Not enough sample size/I don't know
18 23.08%

04-24-2015 , 03:41 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by day'n'night
All Ł1/2 games in london have a 5% capped 10Ł+Ł1. Isnt that ridiculously high? Do you guys think its still possible to have a 10+ Bb per hour? Max buyin is around 400 and people usually have anywhere between 75-600 bb
Quote:
Originally Posted by de4df1sh
idk man, probably not 10bb/hr
I wouldn't be so sure. In American games, rake is usually capped at 5+1 or even 4+1, but it's 10% -- you hit the cap every hand (it maxes out at 20-25bb at 1/2). With the cap hitting at 100bb and the equivalent of the standard US cap hitting at 50bb, the rake is actually lower in UK games for smaller pots (such as: you raise to Ł15, get 1 call, cbet and take it down, that's just 3 quid of rake).

If it was 10% up to Ł10, then I'd tell you it makes a bit of a difference (not a huge difference, but enough to have an impact), but at 5% it should be about the same. You pay a bit more in big pots, a bit less in small pots.

I think 5%-Ł10 should be as beatable as any 1/2. Especially if the lineup is as bad as the standard 1/2 game.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 06:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aleksei
I wouldn't be so sure. In American games, rake is usually capped at 5+1 or even 4+1, but it's 10% -- you hit the cap every hand (it maxes out at 20-25bb at 1/2). With the cap hitting at 100bb and the equivalent of the standard US cap hitting at 50bb, the rake is actually lower in UK games for smaller pots (such as: you raise to Ł15, get 1 call, cbet and take it down, that's just 3 quid of rake).

If it was 10% up to Ł10, then I'd tell you it makes a bit of a difference (not a huge difference, but enough to have an impact), but at 5% it should be about the same. You pay a bit more in big pots, a bit less in small pots.

I think 5%-Ł10 should be as beatable as any 1/2. Especially if the lineup is as bad as the standard 1/2 game.
This is a good point.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 08:58 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ZippyThePinhead
Yep. I believe that. For where I'm at with my game, I'll happily sacrifice the potential of a higher hourly for low stress deep 1/2.

$25-30/hour stress free hobby > stressful $40-75/hour for me.


Sent from my LG-D801 using 2+2 Forums
If you can build a bigger roll, $2/5 should be the way to go. IME the difference in skill between the two limits is negligible. A bit higher variance in $2/5 but that's where you make more money.

IOW $2/5 games aren't 40-60% tougher than $1/2 games.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 09:20 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeverLosesAtPoker
There are players at 2/5 with close to $100/hr hourly. No way is the attainable winrate anywhere close to that at 1/2 unless the bet sizing is much larger than in normal 1/2 games.
Really doubt anybodys true hourly rate at 2/5 is 100 $/hr. I'm not saying somebody can't actually have that winrate for an extended period of time, it's almost guaranteed over a large enough player pool and over a specific sample size.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 10:51 AM
Nobody said $100/hr is attainable.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 10:56 AM
You literally just wrote that
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 11:00 AM
I really didn't though.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 11:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeverLosesAtPoker
There are players at 2/5 with close to $100/hr hourly.
Gthisis,like,onthepreviouspageG
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 11:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gobbledygeek
Gthisis,like,onthepreviouspageG

Thanks for properly quoting my post rather than purporting that I said something else.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 11:23 AM
Lol I'm sorry you said "close", we rounding up by like 25$?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 11:32 AM
If money exist in a room where "close" to $100/hr is possible, there would more than likely be bigger games.

If there are bigger games that run regularly, almost certain that any players that are killing at $100/hr would move up.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 11:36 AM
People way underestimate the importance of the other end of winrate math.... what loss rates are sustainable in a player pool.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 11:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bip!
People way underestimate the importance of the other end of winrate math.... what loss rates are sustainable in a player pool.
Exactly, hence a pool that can sustain such high winrate must be regularly spreading even bigger games.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 02:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by 11t
Really doubt anybodys true hourly rate at 2/5 is 100 $/hr. I'm not saying somebody can't actually have that winrate for an extended period of time, it's almost guaranteed over a large enough player pool and over a specific sample size.
i am

i call bs

by extended we're talking 2k+ hrs minimum right?

even $75/hr FT for a year+ has to require quite a unique set of circumstances... at least in the U.S.

assuming results are all tracked in brick & mortar and not merged w/ some home games mixed in
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 02:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Parker
If money exist in a room where "close" to $100/hr is possible, there would more than likely be bigger games.

If there are bigger games that run regularly, almost certain that any players that are killing at $100/hr would move up.

Not if their winrate in the higher games is similar or worse.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 03:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeverLosesAtPoker
Not if their winrate in the higher games is similar or worse.
Logically that's hard to believe, but whatever.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 03:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Parker
Logically that's hard to believe, but whatever.

It's not that hard to believe. If there are two 5/10s with 4 to 8 grinders each and 10+ 2/5s with 1 to 2 grinders each and a ton of rec fish.

I have a buddy that's 10x the player I am. Before Black Friday he mass multitabled online for a living without a HUD grinding as high as 5/10 online. He normally chooses to play 2/5 rather than 5/10. I've never seen him make a mistake before (I make multiple mistakes every session) and he's the only player I know to have 40+ winning sessions in a row.

Another issue could be bankroll. I know players that make six figures a year playing poker that can't maintain a sizable bankroll due to spending habits.

The other possibilities are that they are content at 2/5 or just haven't solved 5/10 yet.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 04:14 PM
So why would those 5/10 grinder play 5/10 then? Why not also play 2/5?

Whatever.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 04:18 PM
Majority of the nights at MDL 2/5 is the best game in the house and I think I can make more at it than a reg infested 5/T main game if I table select the best 2/5 game in the house.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 04:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Parker
So why would those 5/10 grinder play 5/10 then? Why not also play 2/5?

Whatever.

At times I do think the decision to play 5/10 is nonsensical. I play 5/10 because I tend to play worse in soft lineups and am more likely to spew at lower stakes. My winrate at 2/5 over the last 6 months is most certainly negative.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 04:22 PM
Adapting to 2/5 after playing 5/T takes a lot of discipline. I finally just got into my comfort zone at 2/5.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 04:39 PM
I don't play 2/5 but am wondering something : the only game that runs near me is a 1-2, so everyone plays 1-2. There is a 1-3-6 game that runs occasionaly but I'd rather stay at 1-2 because the game is much better (the game is getting juicer at 1-3-6, so maybe I'll grow my roll and take shots soon).

Because of this there is quite a bit of aggro "winners" at 1-2. The game overall is very sticky so abc is optimal 90% of the time but it seems I'm the only one who realises this... But everytime I see a fellow aggro player, I become a total calling station.

Shouldn't people be even more sticky the higher you get in limits, because it's really hard to make a hand in this game? So what is "spew" at 2/5 would be "insanespew" at 5/T, no?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 06:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeverLosesAtPoker
I agree with El Diesel. Too often I see grinders all go to the same table to try to stack one whale. Then you'll have one table with 4+ grinders which leaves me and the rest of the fish at the other table. I'll take those odds. Also things change quickly. I'd rather select a table based on the level of play rather than stack depths (unless a table is just ridiculously short which happens at 1/2 sometimes).
The first bolded I failed to mention but that's part of my argument. The second is worded a lot better than I worded it.

And the dynamics changing leads into the following...

Quote:
Originally Posted by DK Barrel
In order for many people to be over the buyin cap, there must have been a lot of action. Which means most likely the table was loose before and likely still is. Likely the players sitting on those deep stacks are loose, and likely they're not going anywhere for a while.
That all those bolded are just guesses. It takes 1 hand for 100BB to be added to the table. An old guy raise/called pre with T9 and got ai on a 987 board yesterday. I would have said that's a preflop fold for him every time. I guess he got bored and played it to the death. You're going to assume he's loose and raise/calling all SCs pre? All it takes is one guy playing 60/50 to create big stacks, you're going to assume all 9 guys are playing those stats? And most often the players sitting on the biggest stacks are the tight guys taking advantage of the loose ones. And in toursit cities guys leave all the time before they want to because of concerts/dinners/wives, you can't think they're playing a 12 hour session.

So I'd prefer 2 nits on a table, both on my left, giving me the button 33% of hands, and the other types of players and their stack sizes aren't really important.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DK Barrel
But another point is you don't have to stack anyone to reap the benefits of playing deep. When you are effectively deep a good player can profitably play more hands. You don't stack someone super deep that often but you are able to steal a lot more and that's what makes the biggest difference in most games.
At 2-5 maybe, I don't know. At 1-3 most guys who would be vulnerable to this are the nits who start with $150 who are on my left and I don't even play hands against. The exploitable guys are the guys to value and way too often I see someone try to raise draws or raise as a pure bluff or get allin with TPNK and these are the fkcn worst way to play back at these spots. The best ways are to wait for fat value hands.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 09:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kekeeke
Shouldn't people be even more sticky the higher you get in limits, because it's really hard to make a hand in this game? So what is "spew" at 2/5 would be "insanespew" at 5/T, no?

I think it's a lot more complicated than that. For instance experienced players are going to call raises pre with a lot tighter range vs a strong player than an inexperienced player will. Also, they can read the story you are telling better than an inexperienced player.

Regardless of that, it's always easier to spew when you are playing smaller stakes (if you are apt to play LAG/maniac)
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
04-24-2015 , 09:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by NeverLosesAtPoker
For instance experienced players are going to call raises pre with a lot tighter range vs a strong player than an inexperienced player will.
You have it backwards.

Strong players open wide, and experienced player (presumably strong as well) would also call wide, position not being a factor.
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