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Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Winrates, bankrolls, and finances
View Poll Results: What is your Win Rate in terms of BB per Housr
Less than 0 (losing)
5 6.41%
0-2.5
0 0%
2.5-5
6 7.69%
5-7.5
8 10.26%
7.5-10
15 19.23%
10+
26 33.33%
Not enough sample size/I don't know
18 23.08%

05-21-2014 , 02:56 AM
Always play at the place closest in driving distance. Being able to quit early and go home or go somewhere else when things aren't going well is a huge advantage. You're also not instantly down gas money and time like you would be driving a far distance. Chances are the quality of game does not outweigh the driving distance.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 01:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GrindPokerAllDay
I'm taking the 15 minute drive for sure. If I later decide the games are too slow or the stacks too short then I''ll consider the other games but 15 minutes vs 1 hr is a big deal IMO.
Perhaps I need to get out of the habit of my "either/or" thinking. So often, I feel like I must commit to one room or another in a given day.

GrindPoker, are you driving the 15 minutes 100% of the time? Then if the game sucks, drive the other 45 minutes to one of your other options? Is that what you meant?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 01:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
Assume a natural win rate of $20 / hour at 1/2 which equiates to ~$10/hour after rake.
At 1/3 that win rate would be $30/hour. Then assume a skill increase and therefor a profit decrease of 25%, so we're down to $22.5/hour - rake $12.5/hour. So, we are making $2.5/hour more at 1/3 then 1/2. So, if we lose 90 minutes of drive time, we are losing $15 ($10/hour * 1.5 hours) so we need to be playing 6 hours to make up for that lost cost.

But the better the player we are say a natural win rate of $26/hour - $10/hour rake (8bb/hour is pretty reasonable win rate post rake) then we are making $16/hour.
Same $26/hour * 1.5 = $39/hour at 1/3 - 25% skill factor = $29.75/hour - rake = $19.75. So we are making $3.75 more per hour, so we only need to play 4.25 hours to make up for the loss in travel time.
I consider myself fairly good at math, but for some reason your subtractions of rake-per-hour are going over my head. Pardon me, but how did you come to the calculation of "minus $10/hour"?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 02:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by filimaica
Perhaps I need to get out of the habit of my "either/or" thinking. So often, I feel like I must commit to one room or another in a given day.

GrindPoker, are you driving the 15 minutes 100% of the time? Then if the game sucks, drive the other 45 minutes to one of your other options? Is that what you meant?
I was just speaking in general, if the games are good at the casino 15 minutes away then that's where I'm playing. However, I like that plan if the casino is on the way to the other ones.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 02:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by filimaica
I consider myself fairly good at math, but for some reason your subtractions of rake-per-hour are going over my head. Pardon me, but how did you come to the calculation of "minus $10/hour"?
From talking to floor people / dealers at the casinos I frequent. They average ~$95 per hour in rake + bbj drop at a 10% $4+2bbj game. So a 5+1 would actually average slightly less; but i default to $100/hour for most basic calculations.

And at a 10 handed table, people pay an average of $10/hour in rake.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 02:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by filimaica
I consider myself fairly good at math, but for some reason your subtractions of rake-per-hour are going over my head. Pardon me, but how did you come to the calculation of "minus $10/hour"?
I'm assuming that he guesstimated it (or new it to be standard). If there are 25 hands dealt an hour and each hand is max raked $6 (5+1) then tables are earning $150/hr in rake Divide that by the 9 players and each player would be paying an average of $16.67. Obviously not all hands are max-raked so his number makes sense to me even though I don't understand how it was derived.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 09:26 PM
Hey guys I just stayed playing live and realized where I play the rake is max 5 and a jackpot of 2!

Is the double jack pot dropgoing to make the games unbeatable long term @ 1/2?


Zy

Sent from my SCH-I545 using 2+2 Forums
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 09:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zy_69_yZ
Hey guys I just stayed playing live and realized where I play the rake is max 5 and a jackpot of 2!

Is the double jack pot dropgoing to make the games unbeatable long term @ 1/2?


Zy

Sent from my SCH-I545 using 2+2 Forums
Define beatable.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 09:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Richard Parker
Define beatable.
I would think beatable would be at least 10 an hour.

Zy

Sent from my SCH-I545 using 2+2 Forums
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 09:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zy_69_yZ
Hey guys I just stayed playing live and realized where I play the rake is max 5 and a jackpot of 2!

Is the double jack pot dropgoing to make the games unbeatable long term @ 1/2?


Zy

Sent from my SCH-I545 using 2+2 Forums
100% beatable.

A solid player in the game should notice only a small drop in their win rate.
1/2 - 1 bb / hour at the most I'd say.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 09:51 PM
Ah OK perfect. Idk why 1$ seemed like so much to me. Probably because I play 50nl online lol.


Zy

Sent from my SCH-I545 using 2+2 Forums
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 11:26 PM
Promo drop shouldn't diminish winrate, assuming the money is returned to cg players in the form of high hands, bbj, splash pots etc. Some places use promo drop to cover tournament guarantees so in that case it would affect the winrates of cg players.

Some venues run better promos during certain hrs so you should be aware of that too.

Last edited by pure_aggression; 05-21-2014 at 11:51 PM.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 11:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pure_aggression
Promo drop shouldn't diminish winrate, assuming the money is returned to cg players in the form of high hands, bbj, splash pots etc. Some places use promo drop to cover tournament guarantees so in that case it would affect the winratss of cg players.

Some venues run better promos during certain hrs so you should be aware of that too.
Accurate.

As long as 100% is returned to players at a mostly even distribution.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 11:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pure_aggression
Promo drop shouldn't diminish winrate, assuming the money is returned to cg players in the form of high hands, bbj, splash pots etc. Some places use promo drop to cover tournament guarantees so in that case it would affect the winrates of cg players.

Some venues run better promos during certain hrs so you should be aware of that too.
That's a huge assumption. At the casino I play at they say the drop is for the BBJ but the amount that goes to the BBJ is likely 10 to 20%.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-21-2014 , 11:57 PM
February 28 - Today
I've played 125 Freeroll tournaments on SealsWithClubs and cashed in 33 winning 75.88 chips.
1st. 4x
2nd. 4x
3rd. 3x
4th. 5x
5th. 3x
6th. 3x
7th. 7x
8th. 3x
11th. 1x
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-22-2014 , 12:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by GrindPokerAllDay
That's a huge assumption. At the casino I play at they say the drop is for the BBJ but the amount that goes to the BBJ is likely 10 to 20%.
Well I guess every place is different, I am pretty sure there are regulations in NV that promo drop must be returned to the players in one fashion or another.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-22-2014 , 12:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by filimaica
When I get ready to play a live session, I have three options, all of which 1 hour driving distance or less. Most of my poker career, I thought like an amateur, something like: "just pick one and hope for a good session". But I have evolved in my analysis of game selection (among many other aspects of my game), and now I know I can do better than that.

But how do I choose? I still feel like my selection is arbitrary. For the moment, I am a $1/$2 NL player, occasionally $2/$5 NL. Let's also assume that all poker rooms have the normal distribution of fish, regs etc so they are all equally beatable (based solely on the skill level variable).
.
I've had a similar dilemma as well. I have found that if I go to the 15 minute game, it is super beneficial for booking my wins. When I drive an hour I feel like i need to stay for probably way longer than I should. I play optimally for 5 hours on most nights, when faced with an hour drive home I generally exceed that.
Another factor for me is that i know every player now at the game close to my house. I have so much info on all of them. It also makes the time much more enjoyable. I reserve the hour drive now for when I would like to play higher.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-25-2014 , 05:30 PM
I have a similar what game should i play situation as ZY...

My background is similar. I was a full time pro prior to Black Friday. Played mostly SSNL with some success at MSNL....

Flash foward to the present and i now have 4k worth of full tilt monies to play with. Im no longer a pro ldo and havent played much these past few years but i assume I still have fundamentals to win at a good clip live.

Assuming 4k bankroll. Im a student with a 26 per hour week job that covers my expenses. Not like this money is life changing but it would be disapponting to bust it... I wont have much time to play. Probably 20 hours week max, often 4-5 hour blocks at a time...occassionally longer on some weekends...

What game(s) are you playing?

Option 1) 1/2 NL (with $2 mandatory straddle on BTN, effectively a 3 blind game) 60-200 max. 5+2 rake. 15 minute drive. Solid game selection. Plenty of tables to choose from.

Option 2) 2/5 NL, 200-500 max. 5+2 rake. 15 minute drive. 2-3 tables on average.

Option 3) 1/2 NL 60-300 max. 5+2 rake. 45 minute drive. Solid game selection. Plenty of tables to choose from

Option 4) 2/5 NL 200-500 max. 5+2 rake. 45 minute drive. Soild game selection. 4-6 tables on average.

Option 5) 2/5 NL. 300-1000 max. 5+2 rake. 45 minute drive. Usually just 1-2 tables.

Option 6)1/2 NL 100-300 max. 5+2 rake. 1 hour drive. Lots of tables. Great game selection.

Option 7) 2-5 NL 200-600 max. 5+2 rake. 1 hour drive. Good game selection. Lots of weekend action.

Preciate the input
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-25-2014 , 05:50 PM
Hey All

I play 2/5 Live at a place that has a minimum $200 maximum $500. Long story short I started playing it for part time income while earning the rest of my income in another part time job.

I am rolling with $10,000 which is 20 buy ins. Since I play live I do not have graphs but I have always done fairly well. Do you feel 20 buy ins is still the right bench mark or should I shoot for more and if so how much more? Also when you are running bad how many buy ins do you need to drop before you would move down to 1/2?

Thanks in advance.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-25-2014 , 06:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jermainthepayne
February 28 - Today
I've played 125 Freeroll tournaments on SealsWithClubs and cashed in 33 winning 75.88 chips.
1st. 4x
2nd. 4x
3rd. 3x
4th. 5x
5th. 3x
6th. 3x
7th. 7x
8th. 3x
11th. 1x
Most of these tournaments were freerolls so the tilt factor was at a minimum. Should these stats even be considered valid? Any input is greatly appreciated.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-25-2014 , 06:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jermainthepayne
Most of these tournaments were freerolls so the tilt factor was at a minimum. Should these stats even be considered valid? Any input is greatly appreciated.
I doubt there is anyone in this subforum that knows much about freeroll tournaments.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-25-2014 , 06:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by jermainthepayne
Most of these tournaments were freerolls so the tilt factor was at a minimum. Should these stats even be considered valid? Any input is greatly appreciated.
What are you asking? You've netted .076 BTCs, which is like $40, in x hours. Calculate your hourly and see if it's worth your time. I don't think it is, but perhaps you do.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-25-2014 , 06:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by y0l0Theory
What game(s) are you playing?

Option 1) 1/2 NL (with $2 mandatory straddle on BTN, effectively a 3 blind game) 60-200 max. 5+2 rake. 15 minute drive. Solid game selection. Plenty of tables to choose from.

Option 2) 2/5 NL, 200-500 max. 5+2 rake. 15 minute drive. 2-3 tables on average.

Option 3) 1/2 NL 60-300 max. 5+2 rake. 45 minute drive. Solid game selection. Plenty of tables to choose from

Option 4) 2/5 NL 200-500 max. 5+2 rake. 45 minute drive. Soild game selection. 4-6 tables on average.

Option 5) 2/5 NL. 300-1000 max. 5+2 rake. 45 minute drive. Usually just 1-2 tables.

Option 6)1/2 NL 100-300 max. 5+2 rake. 1 hour drive. Lots of tables. Great game selection.

Option 7) 2-5 NL 200-600 max. 5+2 rake. 1 hour drive. Good game selection. Lots of weekend action.

Preciate the input
You don't have much time so this is a no-brainer go with Option 1. If you profit in that you can either build your bankroll playing it or take aggressive shots at 2/5 (option 2). If you have a weekend free then you could do the 1 hr drive but for now I see no reason.
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-25-2014 , 07:12 PM
I used to grind freerolls when I was 13. I know a thing or two!
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote
05-25-2014 , 07:36 PM
I'm asking considering the stats you think it would be a wise option to start playing actual $ tournaments?
Winrates, bankrolls, and finances Quote

      
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