Game B is much more profitable given the same rake and more dead money in the pot pf.

bolded is pretty absurd.

Structure is going to have an effect on the profitability of these games, but it is going to be pretty nominal.

If game quality is a dead heat, choose B. Otherwise, go where the quality is the best..

Noth though that both of these games have a very low BI relative to the blinds. 100BB is the low end of normal to begin with, but the atypically large SB in both games exacerbates it.

It's not absurd at all. Have you ever compared winrates in a 1/2 200 cap vs 1/3 300 cap?

u just need the forumla?

2.718281828^(-2xy/z²)

x=winrate y=bankroll z=SD

u can use any unit you want but they all have to be in the same unit and WR and SD hjave to be in the same period

personally, i don't like your idea. I think a system where you start with bankroll X, then take like 5 percent out every time you grow by 20 percent is better. At the very least, i would say take 25% of your weekly profits out, if they exist. doing it session by session seems a bit de trop.

Assuming 8 hour sessions and 40 hour weeks, youre talking about a SD thats like 13x your WR per session but only 5x your winrate per week.

thanks. i might try to grow the bankroll more first.

$15/hr winrate, 3k bankroll, 420 SD. Your chance of going broke is 60%? Am I misunderstanding something or is this way too high?

B should be a much better game.

$5 drop (vs 10% rake up to $5) is tough though.

Wow. Playing 1/2? That seems like an insane SD.

I use SessionLogger. I have a feeling it calculates things incorrectly. Not sure. Other people have mentioned the same thing.

I do play shorter sessions (3-4 hours) when I get up big.

Nope. I use session logger and it has be at a reasonable 100/hr SD. I some times play short sessions when I lose due to stop loss but I also continuously up date my stack size through the session. Try doing that and it may lead to you having a more accurate account. It's pretty close to the one I have on check your bets.

This Aaron Hernandez thing is crazy. Did he really think he could get away with it?

it does if you dont update your stack size every hour. But it tends to underestimate SD, not overestimate it.

i havent tested, but it might have a tendency to overestimate SD if you play multiple stakes.

getting a new phone tomorrow and can't transfer existing stuff over AFAIK, so i'll probably start with a new program if i start tracking again on my phone. i stopped around may 31.

yes. youre missing this:

200/hr is a pretty typical SD... for which a 3K br would yield a 10% RoR.

remember... doubling SD quadruples variance.

I have two things to add....

1.) in poker journal app for iPhone, to calculate bankroll requirements I was trying to use this app to figure out standard deviation, do I use standard deviation hourly, or for the whole session.

And 2.) I have promptly run my 5k BR that I saved up over months of humping this crappy job into the ground in a matter of weeks and only have 2500 left and am moving down to 1-2 to try to recover and rebuild. I don't necessarily think any of you care about this, but I just complain and whine somewhere to someone, so you have drawn the short stick.

either will work as long as your winrate is expressed in the same period as your standard deviation.... so if you use your standard dev per session you also need to use your average winrate per session

This is the RoR calculator I use:

http://www.reviewpokerrooms.com/poke...uirements.html

And yes it is true that either numbers (hourly SD or session SD) will yield a result, those numbers are slightly different for me. Poker Journal weights all sessions the same whether they are 1 hour or 12 hours, so I believe that using hourly results are more accurate. But I'm not trained in the mathz. Personally I am happy using hourly SD with a 1% RoR, which results in a lot of work to realize can just use the 20 BIs rule and have almost the exact same number.

In the first 100 hours of playing full-time live NL poker again, I am winning 22k already.

Too bad that I am going back into semi-retirement (20 hours/week) in a couple months. Would be nice to have a 100k run before I final my hours back down in mid-September.

Stakes? Location? Max buy-in?

Los Angeles 5/10 NL and 10/20 NL games (80% 5/10 NL). Mostly capped games.

Ya...is there a need to brag here?

I just don't like posting in Medium-High Stakes Full Ring.

Besides, I am a LLSNL reg poster, and I rarely brag about my win-rate. At least not nearly as much as all the other LLSNL regs do.

I thought you were always a full timer ATsai...you took a break recently?

Do you do time on / time off as a pro, or was it something unrelated?

very nice, I have had a $10k month at half/ half 1/2 and 2/5 in exactly 100 hours too. I think I ran well and didnt spew huge with helps.

Taking today off, had a pretty up-and-down month. First half of the month was great, second half sucked hard. Apparently I just run horribly every time I play at the Wynn because I'm about 0/10 on lifetime sessions there. Lost about $800 playing 1/3 there yesterday, almost all of it on a hand against a maniac where I pick up AA in SB on his UTG straddle, 3 people limp, I raise to $36, he re-raise to $110, I 4b to $350 with $650 effective stacks, he calls, flop J43r, I shove he calls, turn 9 river 7, he has 56s. Then decided to take a shot at the 5/10 game and bought in for $1k, lasted about 30 minutes running the nut flush into a rivered full house, culminating in my single worst day ever with a total loss of $1,855. Also lost a monster pot at 2/5 last week with second nut flush against the nut flush and third nut flush, and about a $900 pot at 1/2 where I runner-runnered top boat against a runner-runnered straight flush. Which way is BBV again?