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What Would You Do? What Would You Do?

11-10-2014 , 01:30 PM
I have 217.6 pts in Draft Kings' 2.5M guarantee. Currently 85/53K teams with Cam ytp. NOBODY AHEAD OF ME OR TIED WITH ME HAS CAM and 1st place has 243 pts but 0 pmr. the top 13 spots have 0 pmr. What hedging should I do? Sell equity? Bet under Cam yardage? Over Cam ints? Thx. here are the payouts.

RANKPRIZES AWARDED
1st $1,000,000.00
2nd $100,000.00
3rd $50,000.00
4th $40,000.00
5th $30,000.00
6th $20,000.00
7th - 8th $15,000.00
then pennies....
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11-10-2014 , 02:15 PM
wow, gfl man!!!

Almost impossible to figure out your equity (assuming a lot of teams in the hunt have pmr with various players) so selling seems unlikely. Also fading Cam in props isn't exactly a hedge because people might have the receiver he throws it to or someone else in the game who does just as well. I don't know the scoring obv, but if rushing tds are huge and you feel like a big game by cam will earn you good money, I guess just fade his rushing td's. Hard to get down a lot on props these days though. So maybe just sit back and gamble imo.

One thing you have going for you:

Spoiler:
Phi is "sharp" and I am on them and I am easily the biggest mush of all time


GL/I'll be sweating
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11-10-2014 , 02:16 PM
tyty. Sucks Eagles are sharp. Need Sanchez to **** the bed. If Cam has like 2 rush TDs and Sanchez doesn't ball so hard, I have a v good shot at the belt. Or even if Cam plays liek a champ and spreads it out and has like 1 RuTD
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11-10-2014 , 02:22 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by lsdeee
tyty. Sucks Eagles are sharp. Need Sanchez to **** the bed. If Cam has like 2 rush TDs and Sanchez doesn't ball so hard, I have a v good shot at the belt. Or even if Cam plays liek a champ and spreads it out and has like 1 RuTD
What if eagles rbs go nuts and cam goes nuts?
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11-10-2014 , 02:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DGAF
What if eagles rbs go nuts and cam goes nuts?
That'd be no bueno. Or if like McCoy and Matthews go crazy. Or any X and Y ball. I think 50 outta top 85 have 0 pmr but lots have a couple spots for WR, flex, rb. But if Cam actually goes nuts, I ball.
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11-10-2014 , 11:33 PM
I hope you took Cam over int's?
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11-10-2014 , 11:55 PM
Best way would be to find someone close to you in the rankings who had one player left that isn't cam and swapping with that person. Probably have to adjust the ratios to account for cam/his guy's projection.

Too hard to get any serious money on cam related props so anything else isn't really even worth pursuing
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11-11-2014 , 01:15 AM
def hard to get any props in > 500 and if I did I woulda got dusted. his yds and td overs hit. that was brutal. I've despised ron riveras punk ass for years and I do more than ever now. lol @ running it all the time in the second half. lol @ having to use a TO AFTER coming out of a TV TO. That oline was so bad, wow. Cam looked slower than ive ever seen him. Slow motion. He got sacked 9 mother****ing times. He telegraphs all of his passes worse than any qb in the league, sails balls like I've never seen and just never ever scans the field naturally. Barf. Wish I had Matthews and Eagles D my lord.
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11-11-2014 , 01:33 PM
Play Sanchez and hope to ladder up
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11-11-2014 , 01:38 PM
my equity woulda dropped through the floor. that woulda blocked me from being able to get 1-3rd and also even if I did, he had 4 more pts than cam. woulda got me stone pennies more. cam had worst game of his life and sanchez had best game of his and sanchez outscored him by 4 pts. not 1 team ahead of me had 2 ytp and nobody ahead of me had cam and nobody close behind me at all had Cam and X and 1st place was like pts away. fin 61/53K and got pennies. fun.
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