Quote:
Originally Posted by docvail
AA, KK, AK, JJ, maybe occasionally QQ.
The min-click 3B pre is weird, but could be AA hoping to induce a 4B, or JJ planning to fold to a 4B.
The 1/6 pot c-bet could be a "see where I'm at" bet for value and protection, planning to jam brick turns.
Using symbols ">" to mean more likely than and ">>" to mean much more likely than,
my take was the pre c/r sizing is AA > KK >> JJ/QQ/AK. A complete nit is only going this small when he thinks he doesn't need protection from over cards.
The super tiny flop bet to me means KK > AA/AK/QQ. He feels very secure against 1 and 2 pair hands.
The turn jam on a safe card with 2 players in the pot means KK > AA.
Normally when playing against a more competent player you can't narrow ranges like this but to me, these players are playing almost face up.
To answer the other poster, my cards make the actual decision almost irrelevant. Hero had JJ and sadly it's not a fist bump call but a sigh call getting 2-1 expecting to not be good >50%.