Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
What is the main criteria when considering a Donk Lead? What is the main criteria when considering a Donk Lead?
View Poll Results: What is the main criteria when considering a Donk Lead?
Equity Advantage
1 8.33%
EV Advantage
1 8.33%
Equity and EV Advantage
1 8.33%
None of the above
9 75.00%

07-29-2019 , 11:32 PM
Ok fine, maybe you are onto some crazy concepts that I had never heard of.

Please help me understand how can someone have 60% equity in a hand and have lower expected value without any action.
07-29-2019 , 11:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tanqueray
FWIW, you do realize that two things are likely happening with your cropped image:

1. You are cherrypicking stats and ignoring rest of the variables and formulas.
2. Engine that you are using is incorrect.

Just think about the basic coin flip scenario, if you are both risking the same amount of money and the rules are fair, how can your EV be below the other person?
Did you just compare poker to a coin flip? Jesus christ.

It is called over realizing and under realizing equity. You can have over 50% equity but be an underdog in the hand from an Expected Value point of view because of the composition of your preflop holdings.

Comparing poker to a coin flip is just LOL
07-29-2019 , 11:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Then completely missed the point of the thread by talking about EV. No, we are talking frequencies.
I am even more confused now - how does frequency play a role in this discussion?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Of course the EV of donking and checking are similar, that is obvious.
Well no, they are not similar. Donking is an action that changes EV, checking is a non-action that doesn't change EV.

Just think about river scenario. Equity doesn't change but obviously result can change if someone bets, and thus EV changes. Check/check in a HU situation doesn't change anything.
07-29-2019 , 11:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Did you just compare poker to a coin flip? Jesus christ.
In a 50/50 situation, it is often the easiest to use coin flip scenario that most people already understand.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
It is called over realizing and under realizing equity.
Yes, but how do you do that without any action? How can someone NOT realize equity if there isn't an action?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
You can have over 50% equity but be an underdog in the hand from an Expected Value point of view because of the composition of your preflop holdings.
No...you cannot. I don't think I can actually simplify this most basic concept for you.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Comparing poker to a coin flip is just LOL
LOL...
07-29-2019 , 11:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tanqueray
I am even more confused now - how does frequency play a role in this discussion?



Well no, they are not similar. Donking is an action that changes EV, checking is a non-action that doesn't change EV.

Just think about river scenario. Equity doesn't change but obviously result can change if someone bets, and thus EV changes. Check/check in a HU situation doesn't change anything.
No, not true.

Every decision you make has an EV attached to it. Folding is the only Zero EV action you make at a poker table.

The EV of donking and checking are usually similar if not the exact same. I am talking about situations where Game Theory dictates certain ranges to bet at a much high frequency than check, even though their EV is the same or similar.

And the equation that is needed to find these high frequency donk spots.

Also in your last example of Check/Check OTR. You don't know your opponent is going to check behind - that is why checking has a certain EV and betting has a certain EV.
07-29-2019 , 11:43 PM
Ok, everyone stop with the insults or I'm going to start handing out bans. If you don't understand something, ask. Don't just type, "LOL"

Garick, feel free to lock this whenever you're ready.
07-29-2019 , 11:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Every decision you make has an EV attached to it. Folding is the only Zero EV action you make at a poker table.
Actually you are very incorrect, sir.

Folding changes EV by resetting it to 0.

Checking doesn't change EV...as I had illustrated by the river scenario, in which H is last to act and checks behind. How can checking change EV?

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
The EV of donking and checking are usually similar if not the exact same.
It's not...V cannot fold to a check.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
I am talking about situations where Game Theory dictates certain ranges to bet at a much high frequency than check, even though their EV is the same or similar.
Oh brother, here we go again.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
And the equation that is needed to find these high frequency donk spots.
Frequency does have a role in EV calculation, but I fail to see how you are bridging it in this thread.

Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
Also in your last example of Check/Check OTR. You don't know your opponent is going to check behind - that is why checking has a certain EV and betting has a certain EV.
You are correct that I do not know whether my opponent will change EV by betting after I check, but that still doesn't change the fact that checking doesn't change EV.

But you see, if my opponent checks behind, he doesn't change EV.
07-29-2019 , 11:52 PM
grunch: setting up a future action. when choices feel similar expectation wise, it can be good to take the worse seeming one for meta.
07-29-2019 , 11:55 PM
Hey man, I like the premise of what I think you are asking in this thread. It can be interesting to discuss whether there is merit to donk bet more, but the choices you are presenting are not making much sense.

By the way, "EV advantage" to me means positive EV, meaning that I will win $ in the long term.

And I realize that you are comparing EV advantage the same way that you are comparing equity and I know that you do not believe I know anything, but that's not the correct comparison.

Yes the line that suggest you should read some fundamentals is out of line - I apologize.

I am not here to insult you.
07-30-2019 , 12:17 AM
Yeah, that went about as I expected, even with the warning. Locked.
Closed Thread Subscribe
...

      
m