Quote:
Originally Posted by Diezeljj
I think when we bet small on the flop, we keep overcards in and allow more players in. And so the Q on the turn is not a blank. Any V can easily have that. And now if we bet big on the turn for value, I think that is too thin and we end up value-owning ourselves sometimes. We are not getting anymore value from 66-99 when 2 players called. The only hands we get value from are FDs that don't contain a Q. That's why I advocate a bigger flop bet to chase out overcard floats and try to get HU.
I just don't think the Q makes up a big part of their range. Let's look at it from COs perspective, you raised PF and he called, then he's facing a $30 flop bet with another 2 players left to act, he's not floating here with random bs b/c there's 2 players left behind him so hands like QJ/QT/Q9 are out unless he's got a flush draw to go with it. AQ/KQ is possible but they are also likely to be 3 bet some of the time making it less likely. From BBs perspective it's kind of the same reasoning. What hands that contain a Q is he overcalling with? Maybe AQ
I agree there's not a ton of value to be gained from 66-99 but there are flush draws out there, some gutters, and overcards. The combination of 2 opponents means you'll have to dodge quite a few cards on the river.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Diezeljj
Now if we are HU to the turn, and the offsuit Q comes, we can deem that more as a brick and go for more value and still get looked up by 66-99.
I would agree that it's less likely for BB to have a Q if we are heads up but I would say it's the opposite for CO. If you raise pf, CO calls pf and the blinds get out of the way, CO is more likely to float your flop bet w/a hand like QJ/QT/Q9 b/c 1) he doesn't need to worry about any one else so his hand is more likely to be good if he hits a q or 9 and 2) he's got position and this is a flop you miss a lot so he can float w/plans to take the pot away on the turn