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Tricky spot vs aggro whale Tricky spot vs aggro whale

01-11-2024 , 01:56 PM
We're playing 5/5/10 at an action casino with a short buy-in cap ($800)

Villain in this hand is a casino regular but also very much an action player who I would classify as LAG. He's extremely aggressive especially with draws.

Villian limps utg1 two other limps I wake up with black AKo in the third blind I raise to 80 only the utg1 player calls

720 left back

Flop A63hhd(185)

I bet 60 utg1 raises 155 I 3bet 320 leaving another 400 behind utg1 snapfolds

Thoughts on this line?
Tricky spot vs aggro whale Quote
01-11-2024 , 03:15 PM
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With spr of 4, anything besides folding should be ev neutral on this board.

I personally wouldve just called, lot of these bad regs consider the small sizing as extreme weakness and they’ll raise any2. There are of course turn scare cards so i dont mind your play.

If we do call , pot will be roughly 500 on the turn, and i think we have a pretty easy check/jam on most turns even hearts.
Tricky spot vs aggro whale Quote
01-11-2024 , 04:47 PM
He would mostly raise larger with his draws do you think?

My initial thought is he has mostly weaker Aces that are trying to slow you down on the next street.

I like your line.
Tricky spot vs aggro whale Quote
01-11-2024 , 07:08 PM
May not be relevant to the post-flop action, but my first thought on reading OP is to wonder if the pre-flop limping is in some way a function of the low cap buy in. Like, is the limp range here always weak, or is there some LRR component to people's pre-flop strategy here?

Next thing I wonder is if hero's raise sizing is the result of some standard formula, or some sort of exploit. Like, why 80 instead of 70 (3x + 1x * 3 limpers + 1x for OOP) or 100 (because eff these limpers)?

All that aside, my guess is you were putting him on the heart draw? Your 3B on the flop seems really aggro. You're basically telling him you have a strong ace.

Next I'm wondering if his flop raise sizing means anything. You c-bet just under 1/3 pot, and he raised just over 2.5x. Is that a size that suggests he's planning to fold to any 3B, or is he hoping to induce a 3B, planning to just jam?

I wonder what the EV difference is if you were to just flat call his raise, hope for a brick turn, check to him again, hoping he bets, so we can then x/r-jam.

Have we seen this guy take this line on two-tone flops, and barrel turns when the obvious draw misses, or does he slow down, check back, and look to take a free card? Does he like to just get it in on the flop with his 8 and 9 out draws? That would influence my thinking about what line to take here.

Getting back to his 2.5x raise size - I think if V takes that size, I don't like just flat calling, because it feels like he's just trying to "see where he's at" with a weaker A, or set his own price to chase a draw. If we just flat call, it feels like we'd be hand-cuffed and have to check to him on the turn, letting him control the size of the pot.

I'd rather keep the betting lead going to the turn, and I really like the just over 2x 3B size you chose. It puts the pressure to come up with an optimal response back on him. He has to figure out how he wants to respond with his weak aces, his draws, and his flopped sets, getting to the turn with less than 1 SPR.
Tricky spot vs aggro whale Quote
01-14-2024 , 06:27 AM
Flat the 155, he is going to bluff often vs what is often perceived as a “see where you’re at” small cbet.
Tricky spot vs aggro whale Quote

      
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