1/2 table
Villian is a 20something white male, no particular reads on him. He sat down while I was getting food and I had seen only 2 or 3 rotations since I came back. He seemed pretty decent, not a station. Not sure what his preflop raising range is, haven't really noticed him (wasn't very actively involved, might have forgotten some hands where he was active) in any hands post flop.
Villian has about $300 in front of him, I have over double his stack.
I am SB with K
Q
. Villian raised to 7 UTG (I think this was his standard raise size). 2 callers in middle position. I flat. I probably should have folded pre, but I didn't want to fold KQ. Kinda fishy, I know. BB calls.
Flop: Q
T
8
Pot: $35
I check, BB checks, Villian bets $30. 2 folds and I flat. My thoughts here are that he has a made hand or maybe drawing with the A
. I don't think he would have cbet in a 5 handed pot that is draw heavy. A raise probably folds out everything but made flushes and hands that have me beat. BB folds.
Turn: 7
Pot: $95
I check again and villian bets $75. What could he be raising here that I would have equity against? If he has a made flush, I'm drawing thin. Seeing as how the QT8 are all on the board and I hold the K, there are very few spades hands he raises that doesn't include the As (if any) and I'm basically drawing dead. His bet sizing to me sort of felt like aces and he wanted to protect his hand against flush draws. I'm not so sure if he would have bet so big there if he had the nuts, but I'm not sure enough to factor it in my decision. Something I notice from experience where players overbet or have large bet sizes because they are scared of draws calling and cracking their aces. If he did have Aces, I'm still drawing dead if he has the As which is half the combinations of aces he could have.
How would you guys have played it differently on each street? I'm not sure what the best flop action is for me there. I didn't think a raise was a good move at all, but even calling might not have been great. What would his flop bet range be in that situation? The more I think about it, maybe I could fold even on the flop. What made hands does he bet that I would have equity against? AQ without the spade or QT maybe?
Should have just folded pre, but what are your thoughts on flop?