This hand happened at a 1/2 9 handed table in Wendover NV.
I'm in BB with 10
8
It gets limped 5 ways. I check BB. Effective stack sizes are about 100BBs (it was hard to tell because the nit didn't have two 20 stacks, they looked random, he possibly had a little more, like 120BBs)
Nit has only played 2 or 3 hands in the last two hours, never showing anything down. He's won maybe one pot by raising pre, betting flop, and betting turn and getting a fold.
Flop is:
8
9
10
I lead for $7 into $8 pot. CO who is a loose drooler calls and Button who's is a 70 year old nit calls, everyone else folds. pot is $27.
Turn is 4
so now I have and top and second with a flush draw.
I bet $15, CO folds, and now 70 year old nit makes it $25 more. I've got 15 outs (possibly) if the nit flopped a straight so I call hoping for a
T or 8. Pot is around $105
River is a 6
I check, Nit insta-pushes what looks to be $100 into middle. What do I do, call or fold? 7x gets there,
flush gets there, he could've flopped a straight or a set.
Two ways I think I misplayed this hand:
I should've 3bet the turn to get the money in with at least 71% equity against villian's range, which I entered into Stove as every Jx combo except JJ.
I could've bet/folded river with a blocking bet of about $50.