Originally Posted by apokerplayer
Hand from $2-5. Effective stacks $700.
Villain in this hand is a pretty loose guy but who is capable of thinking and takes the game seriously. He's prone to making some spewy calls and bets, though, but also capable of random big folds. An example of his play from earlier:
Limped 3-way pot w/ two blinds and button. Flop is 345, two clubs. Villain is in SB. BB bets $25 into $15, button calls, villain makes it $100, BB goes all in for $250, button (who everyone knows is a serious, thinking player) shoves for $600 (covers villain), villain thinks a while and calls w/ set of 4s. Button has 62 for the straight. Villain lamented his call and said it was an obvious fold (which I think it was). He seemed to be more careful going forward into the session.
Little history between him and I: only played a few hands with him since he's been playing past couple days. I'd been pretty card-dead so he probably perceived me as pretty tight and nitty; this was reinforced by fact that the few times we'd been in pots he'd folded to bets from me on flop or turn, whereas he was prone to looser behavior with other players.
This pot, one limper and I raise to $25 in middle position w/ AQo. Get the same two players from last hand (button and villain) calling in SB and BB. Flop is QQ3r. SB (button from last hand) leads $35, BB calls, and I call. At this point, I'm sure one of these guys definitely has a Queen, although I'm not sure which one. And someone could have 33.
Turn is J, putting out two clubs. SB checks, BB (villain) bets $75. I elect to just call, considering our history, and considering how a raise from me screams KQ or AQ at the least, and I want to keep in his weaker Queens, which I'd feel I'd lose to a raise. Plus, there's also the possibility that he or the SB has QJ or 33. SB folds.
River ($330) is blank 7. He bets $200 w/ about $350 left behind. I just call, for the same reasons as I called the turn bet. I feel like my hand looks very much like a good queen or even stronger from way I've played it and, given our history w/ him being pretty careful with me, he should be considering that strongly. I feel like a raise, I only get called by better.
I show my hand first and he's very surprised, obviously having a queen. He said it was a good one.
Anyone feel that raising on turn or river (perhaps min-raising turn) is clearly the way to go? I feel like I played this hand well, considering history, but maybe I'm giving him too much credit in being able to fold a queen on the turn or river. To me, my hand would seem face-up if I raised, if I were in opponent's shoes considering previous action, but maybe I'm overthinking this.