1/2, 8 players, hero was the effective stack with 300.
Villain just sat down at the table for 10 minutes. White guy around 25 yo. No significant reads.
UTG straddled.
Hero saw AJss at UTG+1. Hero raised to 15.
Villain 3-bet to 50 from SB. Only hero called.
Heads up. Hero in position.
Flop (100 after rake) came A♣2♠5
.
Villain thought for a bit and bet 35.
Hero raised to 100 with 150 behind (Hero was malfunctioning on this day - the brake didn't work).
Villain tank called.
Turn (300) came 4
Villain checked, hero checked.
River (300) was Q
Villain checked, Hero?
Some thoughts:
After this hand I was mad at myself for my play PF and on the flop.
- At this stakes level, I would say an unknown's 3 bet range is predominantly AA/KK/AK, and some AQ. Therefore AJs is probably a fold given the stack depth.
- And the flop raise was probably appalling. At the time I thought just calling his c-bet I still couldn't find out whether our hand was good or not, but on the hindsight, even if he was c-betting with TT/JJ/QQ/KK, after I called, he would be unlikely to pull the trigger on the turn unless he hit a set.
As played, at the river I put my opponent in AK and nearly AK only.
We only had a half-pot bet left.
If we bet, the most reasonable hands we can represent is AQ and QQ. It would be a slightly unusual line for AA but the whole action line is messed up anyway.
We might be able to represent some backdoor Ace flush, but given that we had As, and Ac was on the board, 50% chance villain had A
I don't think he would check the river with AKhh, but if we are lucky he doesn't have A
he may have K
My other thoughts:
Most of the time on any previous streets hero has a higher-than-average fold equity because hero's
1. female
2. low vpip rate.
However hero rarely bluff the river against an unknown, because too many times in the past after my opponent called and before the showdown I heard:
"I know I'm beat but I can't fold this hand."
"I know I'm beat but I don't mind losing to you."
If I was my opponent, with this runout, I would fold my AK to her shove on the river. But I myself don't know whether it's too ambitious to bluff an unknown.
Suggestions and criticism are welcome.