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Thoughts on the royal gutshot play? Thoughts on the royal gutshot play?

04-07-2012 , 03:15 PM
1/2 NL AC Casino.

Villain 1 - UTG ($450) Seems to be a solid player, took a couple bad beats. Usually shows down strong hands, sometimes weak semi-bluffs for big bets.

Villain 2 - SB ($150) Very spew, any flush draw looks like gold to him.

Hero Q J - BTN ($900) Raising a very wide/profitable range from IP, some players are avoiding me it seems and some are calling me very light.

Pre-Flop UTG raises to 10, hero calls, SB calls

Flop ($32) A 10 7

UTG check, Hero Checks, SB raises to $20, UTG re-raises to $50, Hero calls 50$, SB goes all-in($130). UTG goes all-in($390). This is where...... Hero folded. What do you think?

Board runs: A 10 7 9 2

UTG shows AA
SB shows 9 5

Not being result oriented just wondering if you guys think i had enough fold equity in this spot, at first when i made the decision i thought i did for sure. Now i'm not so sure.

I have AA in utg's range here but also AK and sometimes AQ
Thoughts on the royal gutshot play? Quote
04-07-2012 , 03:25 PM
I just think it's a poker stove question tbh. I think you probably played it well, but you might have had the right equity. But taking a thin +EV line might not be +EV overall for you in this spot depending on how you react to losing the pot, or what the max buy-in is and other stacks at the table.
Thoughts on the royal gutshot play? Quote
04-07-2012 , 03:46 PM
The flop action is wrong/confusing. Agree with DL - you played it fine although it's a close spot and depending on exactly what ranges you put in poker stove it might be a call.
Thoughts on the royal gutshot play? Quote
04-07-2012 , 04:37 PM
The min-cr by UTG is a very strong line. I think you need to decide if youre gonna roll with this hand the first time around. Flatting the $50 leaves your hand really vulnerable since sb will almost always reshove and open the action back to utg. Either 3b/call utg's original raise or fold imo. You do have a monster draw, but it looks better than it actually is. With the previous action, im leaning towards a fold....but dont blame you if you wanna get it in with these stack sizes.
Thoughts on the royal gutshot play? Quote
04-07-2012 , 04:42 PM
I don't think SB is almost always reshoving here. I think it's the opposite actually. He bet when checked to making his range weaker, and the c/r by the pfr raiser is almost always the nuts, leaving not that many value hand combos that the sb can bet/3bet.

He was also given an excellent price with his draws, and many villains will just call realizing they have 0 fold equity by shoving.
Thoughts on the royal gutshot play? Quote
04-07-2012 , 04:49 PM
Okay. Then a flat by hero is good? Hm.
Thoughts on the royal gutshot play? Quote

      
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