Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Thats a big bet, Sir Thats a big bet, Sir

01-05-2019 , 03:30 AM
blech. he could be as weak as bottom two. but more likely he has either a set or the bottom straight.

call and run it twice.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 05:15 AM
Edit: misread the hand, shrug-calling at this point
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 10:05 AM
I called. He had 6h3h. We ran twice

First river was Kd
Second river was some brick and we chopped.

With a straight and a flush redraw, this has to be one of the worst bets ever (although I did call so whatever). I had one of the very few hands I would ever call with. The sick thing is if he makes an actual good bet...like $200....I call and river the K and bust him for a huge pot so his horrible bet saved his ass this time.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 01:45 PM
I kinda think you are the on who got lucky
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 02:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Javanewt
I kinda think you are the on who got lucky
Yeah, that's some massive results orientated thinking. I wouldn't try to make myself feel better by thinking, "well, he played bad on this hand, too." The villain made it clear that he wasn't going to pay you off if you were ever going to be ahead in this hand.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 03:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by canadiasian
99% chance it is 8h6h.

1% chance it is 86.
Pretty sick read guy
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 03:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Minatorr
I would check flop

Ap turn i call, he has some worse value here once every blue moon and folding would be a huge disaster, we have way too many outs even vs the nuts. your perceived range here is very weak here as well (although you should have a lot of monsters flatting flop x/r).

we have 4 out vs a straight, with one card to come. this is not way too many outs.

i have called in these spots before (not with this big of an overbet) and it usually doesn't work out to well. don't go broke in a limp pot without the nuts.
(edit)
i missed that we have the heart draw. yeah this spot really sucks. probably have to call
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 05:33 PM
It's definitely a fold based on results and the read you should have on this guy.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 05:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
I called. He had 6h3h. We ran twice

First river was Kd
Second river was some brick and we chopped.

With a straight and a flush redraw, this has to be one of the worst bets ever (although I did call so whatever). I had one of the very few hands I would ever call with. The sick thing is if he makes an actual good bet...like $200....I call and river the K and bust him for a huge pot so his horrible bet saved his ass this time.
Why are you running it twice here? Very bad spot for that
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 05:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nonoyoker
Why are you running it twice here? Very bad spot for that
RIT is EV neutral. If you don’t believe me do a search for one of the many threads about it.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 05:51 PM
"Probably have to call" when villain (almost) 3x pots?

While we do have heart outs, it's not that many, because villain has 2 in his hand and the 2h is dirty. So real time there's 10 outs, and theoretically theres 13 if villain isn't on the nfd, which he probably isn't.

Villain bets $600 into $225.

I won't math that the whole way, but there's no way calling is +EV with this villain as described.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 05:54 PM
I think that's what he meant at the bottom.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 06:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by nonoyoker
Why are you running it twice here? Very bad spot for that
I always run it twice unless the other guy doesnt want to. I dont pick and choose. That's horrible etiquette
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 07:11 PM
Guys, it is 9 outs. The 8 of Hearts is bad for us too.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 07:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Javanewt
Guys, it is 9 outs. The 8 of Hearts is bad for us too.
How's that?

Villain holds 3h6h hero has the 7h. Or did I misread that?
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 07:19 PM
Sorry. Read it wrong. 10.

Last edited by Javanewt; 01-05-2019 at 07:25 PM.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 07:55 PM
Don't go broke in a limped pot without the nuts.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 08:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wait
It's definitely a fold based on results and the read you should have on this guy.
Gotta love this little nugget
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 08:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
Gotta love this little nugget
Not a joke bud. If he's spazzing this hard with a straight and flush draw then no shot he does this with 2 pair or a set or nfd. Good thing you picked all this up previously tho.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 08:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wait
Not a joke bud. If he's spazzing this hard with a straight and flush draw then no shot he does this with 2 pair or a set or nfd. Good thing you picked all this up previously tho.
You have no idea whether or not he would do it with 2 pair and neither do I. We rarely see anyone jam $600 into a $225 pot and even more rarely ever see a bet like that get called. Its too rare of an event to know what one player would or wouldn't do it with.

Last week a saw I $20 raise and then a guy 3 bet jammed $750 in preflop with 95s. I doubt anyone expected to see that hand at showdown.

But that point of my post was that the "results" have nothing to do with it being a fold or not.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-05-2019 , 08:57 PM
Think it is fairly safe to say it wasn't 2 pair. Have seen noobs spazz Nut flush draw in this spot though.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-06-2019 , 12:56 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
You have no idea whether or not he would do it with 2 pair and neither do I. We rarely see anyone jam $600 into a $225 pot and even more rarely ever see a bet like that get called. Its too rare of an event to know what one player would or wouldn't do it with.

Last week a saw I $20 raise and then a guy 3 bet jammed $750 in preflop with 95s. I doubt anyone expected to see that hand at showdown.

But that point of my post was that the "results" have nothing to do with it being a fold or not.
Cool story no one cares. Is it the same villain as this hand? No. If this guy from your imaginary story was the one shoving then it's a snap call based on the results of the 95s hand. I guarantee next time this exact spot comes up vs this guy you'll fold because of the results bud.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-06-2019 , 01:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
You have no idea whether or not he would do it with 2 pair and neither do I. We rarely see anyone jam $600 into a $225 pot and even more rarely ever see a bet like that get called. Its too rare of an event to know what one player would or wouldn't do it with.

Last week a saw I $20 raise and then a guy 3 bet jammed $750 in preflop with 95s. I doubt anyone expected to see that hand at showdown.

But that point of my post was that the "results" have nothing to do with it being a fold or not.
By "results" the implication is that now you have a viable history with this SPECIFIC villain to fold in this spot in the future. Not "results" in the sense that because this HAND didn't work out, so you fold every time a villain overbet jams.

If you aren't building a history with villain based on the "results" of the way he played, you're wrong and it's a leak in your game.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-06-2019 , 03:27 AM
This is in the long run an obvious flopped straight of which there are 32 combinations. If he had 63 offsuit I would perceive this player type to bet the turn as well after your flop just call.

These businessmen type players are exactly the ones to shove all in for value in spots they know opponents will have a hard time folding in.

Players who are capable of overbet jams without the nuts are usually super aggressive in lots of spots which doesn’t seem to match him.

I think you should focus on your results oriented thinking as stated by others and what is causing that (switch to ignition so you can get more hands in and can care less about big once a day pots live?) as well as how he only needs one combo of a hand worse than you per three hands stronger to make this a profitable call. So you called correctly given your reads on him at the time.

Last edited by ABCforME; 01-06-2019 at 03:36 AM.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote
01-07-2019 , 01:36 PM
I thought it was the nut straight for sure but the smaller straight with the flush re-draw just in case someone else has the nut straight (which V partially blocks) also makes sense. V also blocks the flush draw if anyone else is drawing. It's pretty sick how strong he is here and that overplaying it saved his stack. There are a class of players that overprotect huge hands but I haven't seen it to this magnitude at 2/5. He probably gets calls more than we would think at 1/2 and 1/3 with just pair + flush draws or even naked nut flush draws making it less terrible. Thanks for sharing though as I agree this spot is super rare at live 2/5.
Thats a big bet, Sir Quote

      
m