Live 1/2 9 handed
Hero 500$
Villian 270$
Utg1 Limp 2$
ugt2 Villain 7$
Button Hero J
9
Call 7$
SB fold
BB Call 7$
utg1 calls 5 more 7$
Pot 29$ after rake 22$
k
10
8
ugt1checks
Utg2 Villian bets 20
Hero Calls (sure I can raise but anyways)
sb folds
bb folds
utg1 folds
pot 62$
turn 8
Board k
10
8
8
Villain bets 50$ pretty fast.
Villain is an older gentlemen.
I am sure when he raises pre-flop that 95% of the time he has a pair or 2 high cards. He is a bit eratic in the way he bets for value.
He seems like the kind of player who would bet a nut flush or full house for value on the turn (expecting or at least wanting to get paid)
Even still I think like 80% of the time he has A
k or kq
I am really not sure what he would do if I shove turn for his 170$ more with the A
k
Since I have straight flush draw (q
or7
) he only has 5 spades he can hit if he has A
I think shoving turn is kind of bad but I can't decided between bet (min raise turn) or check.
I do think he will bet like 100$ almost every time on the river no matter what card hits.
Bet or check turn?
There is a 200$ straight flush bonus and of course bad beat is a small chance if he happens to have 88 but i doubt it but still I really don't want to bet fold.