Quote:
Originally Posted by mikko
How you coming up with 25%.
If she flopped a flush we have 7 diamonds out of 44 unseen cards to hit a diamond. For 16%.
Tough spot for sure. No reads no game flow. I probably would have shoved flop as a default. On turn I think I can find a fold.
You are both wrong. 10 outs out of 44 unknowns vs. a flush after the turn. 1-8, 2-k, 7-d for 23%.
At these stack sizes, I think a fold or call are not bad. Given no reads and V is older woman, I'd lean to fold because I think worst hand we are up against is small flush. Instead of 10% spazz factor, I think there's a 1% spazz, with 20% FH, 79% flush.