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Originally Posted by losttrappist
Were you watching the players or the flop?
Hard to watch 5 people spread across the table at the same time, but didn't notice anything noteworthy no.
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Originally Posted by losttrappist
What do you think he has? What do you think he thinks you have? What do you think he thinks you think he has?
I think he could have a lot of thinks. An ace, two pair, sets, good flush draws, flushes. He would probably put me on a similar range since I lead into 5 people for a PSB. If He's capable of level 3 thinking then I'd say he thinks that I think he doesn't have the flush but likely worse holdings considering I'm betting. I don't really know, I don't do much level 4 thinking in 1/2 live at the casino.
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Originally Posted by losttrappist
You've flopped a small flush in a multi-way pot and are playing the final two streets heads up but oop against an unknown. The turn card, 4c, seems unimportant but what was his response to it? Was he watching you? Were you watching your opponent watch the turn card hitting the board?
He was watching the board, I was watching him. Nothing noteworthy about his body language when the card hit. After noticing nothing I started to count my chips and noticed he checked his holecards again. I know some people check for a suit when 3 suits flop and they have an offsuit hand, but that usually happens on the flop, not on the turn (unless the third suited card hit the turn) so I didn't give it too much value for a read.
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Originally Posted by losttrappist
You bet 55:66 or ~4/5 pot. Why? Was your bet for value, for information, to prevent him from getting a free draw to a bigger flush, to bluff bigger but still small flushes? What hand range are you putting him on? Flushes, Ax with diamond, Ax, Kx with a diamond, Qx with a diamond, Jx with a diamond, 108 with a diamond, two pair, set and less likely random pairs with a diamond.
My bet is for value. I don't bet for information, information is a side effect of a bet. I bet to get value from AX, KdX, QdX, JdX, TdX, 99, 77, 97, A9, A7.
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Originally Posted by losttrappist
You beat most of his potential range but what do you think he thinks about your hand given your line? He raises to 125 in a 121 pot giving you 70:246 or ~3.5-1 to call. What do you think about his hand range now?
This is where I'm not sure if it's a mistake by me or a cooler situation. Against some players (my buddies at a home game for example) this is a clear jam for value AINEC. I have a wide range of draws, TPGKs and twopairs here in that game. In this game though, it's different. I was a bit confused because I have no reads on this player or know any of his tendencies. His hand range for a nit/passive is strong, but for an aggressive or semi-aggressive player he could have a wide range of draws, strong made hands that he's trying to protect, and bluffs. The problem is I don't know how he plays, he's an unknown, and I'm not sure how to react to an unknown in this particular situation.
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Originally Posted by losttrappist
Calling leaves you oop, without the initiative so making many river cards difficult to play. Calling also leaves you with 121 left and a pot of 316 so your playing for your stack on the river.
I don't think I'm ever just calling in this spot, SPR is too low, and even if I called and donked river there's a lot of hands that would call a shove here that won't call one on the river (all his KQJT one diamond hands)
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Originally Posted by losttrappist
You chose to re-raise shove with 191 more into a pot of 246 ( ~3/4 pot) giving him 191:437 or ~2.2-1 to call. What hands, from in position, follow a pre-flop call, call (coordinated board), a turn raise to pot line following your action of pre-flop call, bet, bet. How many of them can you beat? Are many players bluffing the turn here considering your action? Are many players raising other than nut flushes here (810h yes-but that beats you)? Are many players raising two pair or set hands considering your action? Did you get you stubborn with a flush? Are many players folding bigger flushes in this spot? If you fold you still have nearly 100BB to find a better spot. I don't like it and not sure I could do it, but when considering the whole hand folding is certainly a reasonable play ott.
Like I said above, I know there are players here who raise with worse, I just don't know if he's one of them. I guess I don't have much experience getting into tough spots vs unknowns, I've usually had a pretty good feel on a players game before I get into spots with them. My line looks strong, but I'm also a young 20 something that apparently looks like I bluff a lot (according to some other 1/2 regs, not this villain in particular) and I've been looked up light before. Going with a generic 1/2 player, which is usually pretty bad, and my generic image of a young guy that bluffs a lot, I think there is a decent chance, in a generic sense, that he raises here with worse to 'protect' against a fourth diamond. I'm not trying to make him fold a bigger flush, I'm willing to accept the times he has a bigger flush and calls if there's a higher probability that he holds a worse hand and calls. But then again I'm still learning, always am, and perhaps without better reads I should just lay this down.
I'm thinking it's possible I gave him a bit more respect than I should have. I'd normally think your average 1/2 live casino player doesn't bluff or raise with worse in this spot enough to merit a shove, but for some reason at the time I figured there's a lot of sets, two pairs and top pair + fd's in his range that he could be doing this with. Maybe I should approach playing with unknowns as them being typical 1/2 bad-passive players until I have more hands with them to prove otherwise? If I did that here I would have laid the flush down easy. I've laid them down before in spots where the supernit that never raises all of a sudden pops me OTT and I know instantly my 8high flush isn't good. But I've also shoved in similar spots where the superaggro pops me OTT and I know my 5high flush is good way more than enough of the time to make a profitable shove or call.
I guess that leaves the question, how do you guys approach unknowns in 1/2 (or similarly staked) live? bad-passive until proven otherwise?