Quote:
Originally Posted by BenT07891
But the strategy is exploitable: If you know someone is following the theorem, you can profitably bluff raise them on the turn all the time. That's assuming they do not pot control the turn with one pair. If you're heads up against the suspect villain and they bet pot and turn, the majority of their range is one pair, probably around the 60-80% area. Therefore, bluff raising turn is profitable.
If the player betting ott (whether or not he knows baluga or knows you know baluga) sees you constantly raise his turn bets, he'll continue lighter though. It might be exploitable for 2,3 hands.
In limit there was a rule, I forgot the name, that if a 4flush hit otr, you were supposed to lead regardless of if you had the flush. Most of the time the V won't have it and he'll fold with anything smaller than a flush because those bets are valuable in limit. Then people on 2p2 started reading about it and said, well if you know the guy betting knows this rule, always raise him and the situation's reversed.
So it's not exploitable forever.