Quote:
Originally Posted by KneedUrDough
Unless villain has a boat (which is unlikely given the action) u have 8 flush outs (if villain has a 4) and 3 straight outs for a total of 11. With 11 outs u need to get 3.2-to-1 to make the call. Currently ur getting 2.1-to-1 in actual pot odds (if V1 doesn't come along.) That means, if u hit ur draw, u need to make $72 on the river. The pot will be $202 (if not $267) V1 has $85 and V2 has a lot more. I'm sorry but this is a call.
ayo - V2 took the betting lead on the turn and is the short stack not the flipside.
That said, with bad relative position im not liking this spot as much unless V1 is a calling station and wont pop if i make the over call and will call closer to a majority of the time behind me.
At 1/2, its more likely that than anything else, which might make me say call but without further info on villains play its harder to give a solid piece of advice here.
Shoving aint good because V1 will fold and V2 only has a few bucks left. That said, flatting is probably better because it allows V2 to put his money in with great pot odds on the river. but if V2 is lolbad, he may just check that river and if V1 doesnt come along for the ride, you are probably not getting called when he checks not matter if the pot were a million dollars and he only needed to put in 50 bucks on the river. Terrible players to terrible things, we've all seen it happen. its like open folding on the big blind instead of checking the option. Why!? it happens.
My goal is to keep V1 in the pot and at 1/2, i feel like flatting is doing that, however - that said, i dont think we make enough often enough on the river to make it possible. Too many cards come that kill action and we dont have enough fold equity at the river to make up for the pot odds.