Quote:
Originally Posted by nboyer941
He has 13 outs.
9 hearts and 3 sixes (6H already counted).
3.8-1
I would have to make it so he has less than 3.8-1 pot odds.
I don't know how to calculate what to charge him.
I'm a limit player.
So the V has 9 outs for the flush, but you need to subtract the Qh because it gives you quads, so they've got 8 outs for the flush. Plus, they've got four 6s that give them a straight; so that's an additional 4 outs. So, they've got a total of 12 outs to beat you.
Let's turn 12 outs into equity, so the with one card to come, the "4+2" rules says that your equity is approximately 24%. As you can see by the simulator below, they really have 25%.
So, let's turn 25% into odds. 25% equals 3:1 odds. So their odds to hit on the river are 3:1.
We need to offer them something lower than 3:1. The pot on the turn is $50. So what bet offers 3:1? A half pot bet offers 3:1. So we need to bet something bigger than half pot. If we bet $30, we are offering our V, ((50+30):30) or 2.7:1. If we bet $35, we are offering our V, ((50+35):35) or 2.4:1.
So the minimum we have to bet is $26, which would offer our V the pot odds of 2.9:1. Since they have odds of 3:1 to hit the winner, we are correctly charging this draw.
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
QsQd | 75.00% | 33 | 0 |
8h7h | 25.00% | 11 | 0 |