Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Spyutastic
With Johnny also saying stuff like what are the odds deaths will reach 70k and we're sooo far away from it(when we were at 18k). "Do you realize it is a 550% increase?!"
Lol that was like what a little over a week ago? For someone who seems so confident in how data and numbers work, you didn't realize like that wasn't a big jump at all?
Spyu, [mod edit: insult scrubbed] If you want to quote me then quote my post instead of incorrectly paraphrasing it.
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnnyBuz
Drug overdose deaths kill 70,000 per year in the US.
Odds corona tops that?
That post was made on March 20 when there were 309 US deaths and policy decisions were being made from pie in the sky "models" predicting 200,000 - 2,000,000 US deaths. That's looking like a pretty good betting line in hindsight even after the CDC has retroactively gone back and reclassified thousands of deaths as Covid19.
But I digress, nowhere in that post or subsequent posts am I denying Corona is serious or comparing it to the flu. What I did say is that viruses and pandemics have existed as long as humans have been alive and are a fundamental part of life and trying to "defeat" them via social distancing is asinine. They are here to stay. I also said preliminary evidence has shown this is far milder (ie: a CFR between 0.1 - 1.0%) than the Spanish flu and other flus that killed millions upon millions over the last 200 years, and should fall within the acceptable level of death (ie: rounding errors in annual mortality) for choosing a mitigation policy response like Sweden.
I then went on to say the unpopular take is that actuaries can place a dollar value on every human life and that unfortunately most people aren't worth much, and the economic destruction being brought on by an imposed lock down far outweighs the lives saved. You being the cretin you are of course with the reading comprehension level and economic intuition of a small child are oblivious to the fact that we live in a service based economy with 70% of GDP coming via personal consumption and 30 million small businesses employing over 60 million people, and that preventing the economic destruction caused by the global policy response far outweighs saving Granny from dying of Covid19 at 87 as opposed to at 88 from the flu the following year.
But that's to be expected from someone who posts a take like this...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr Spyutastic
Meh, most of those jobs are low level service jobs. Those people don't really matter. They have skills that are easily replaced so aren't very important. Also no one in my immediate family is a service worker so the chances of them filing for unemployment is pretty slim. So, you know F those people.
Last edited by Garick; 04-21-2020 at 03:58 PM.
Reason: play nice