There is one mistake I see all the time that otherwise pretty good players make, especially at the lower stakes. They simply fall into a mode of playing ABC without assessing the players. Most low limit players aren't very good, are there for the recreation, and probably aren't gonna improve. For the most part, ABC will get the money.
However, they fail to consider that, maybe, not all their opponents are fish. I saw this happen the last session I played at 1/2 NLHE. Right off, I spotted the pretty young lady (PYL) sitting directly across the table as someone who needed some extra attention. Three seats to her right, we had Mr. Solid Player, who'd accumulated a pretty decent stack when I bought in. Mr. Solid sat there, with those thingies in his ears, and not paying attention.
The PYL's room mate came over, saying that her luck wasn't running so good at a 2/5 table, and would PYL like to take it, as she'd been on the waiting list. PYL says: "This game's rich enough". I heard her say it, and I know she knew I heard it. I wasn't the only one paying attention, and I knew she'd identified me as someone to be wary of, and we stayed out of each other's way. Meanwhile, Mr. Solid is playing around with his MP3 player.
A few hands later, Mr. Solid limped pre, and PYL put in a small raise and he called with J9-off. Flop hits: T
, 8
7
. He led out for $30, and PYL minraised, and he called. Turn brings 3
, and Mr. Solid led out for $50. PYL cuts out a stack and a half and raises $100 on top. As he's reaching for his chips I'm thinking: "No you damn fool! You're not playing the usual fish here". No question about it: I'd been paying attention, and I knew she would never put that kind of money out there without the nuts. Any hand that would have given her an overpair to that flop would have been raised bigger pre. AT was out of the question, as she would not fool with a flop like that with just a very vulnerable TPTK on such a draw heavy board. She'd've raised bigger with a set to price out a straight draw.
The river brought some irrelevant red card that didn't pair the board. Mr. Solid led out for $100, and PYL pauses just long enough to decide what he'll call, and raises. He called, tabling his flopped straight, and got shown acey-deucy, both clubs. Now he's got a stack and a black: right back to one buy, all that night's work up till now gone, because he wasn't paying attention. (Later, she said she'd played with him before, and he really was pretty good.)
In another session, this older lady raised UTG, and I called on the button with A
, 7
. Given the raise and position, I knew her range was literally AA, KK, AK. The flop came off Q, Q, 7 -- not exactly what I wanted to see. On the flop, she led off for $100 into a pot with $25 in it. The only hand I could put her on with a queen in it was pocket queens. AQ was out of the question (she may have limped AQss, but would have thrown in AQ-off). It's 4 : 3 in my favor she's got Big Slick, and I'm getting a little better than even money on that call. That, and the fact that the body language is telling me: "Dammit! Big Slick missed again!". It's early in the session, and I won't have but $35 left if I call, so I ship it. She called, we show, and that's what she had: Big Slick. We wait for the dealer to turn some cards: a queen that doesn't help me at all. Then she hits her escape card: the case queen. Split pot, and that hand cost me $1.50.
Another case where the ABC player wasn't paying attention to the competition, and failed to realize that I might have observed her early position preflop raising range, and just might try to exploit that knowledge. Desperation bluffing also is not a good idea, especially when she had no way of knowing whether I just might call such a hugely disproportionate bet.
The latest edition of
Card Player has a feature: "Crushing Live Poker with Twitter"
Quote:
Don't level yourself into thinking that your opponents are thinking. One of the biggest mistakes that any serious player can make is giving other players too much credit.
Of course, the converse is that sometimes you run into a player who
can think. And you'd better know who they are. Like that tweet says, I don't want to over estimate the competition, but I will not assume that everyone's a fish without confirming it. If your "fish" isn't as fishy as you think, you don't stack him: he stacks you.