Quote:
Originally Posted by BigSkip
Pre - fine.
Flop - fine.
Turn - errrrr...on one hand I like it, but if he thinks you are FOS, you are going to be hard pressed to get him off of much of a hand.
River - once he tanks that turn, shoving here is setting money on fire. *IF* he had not had success snapping you off previously, I would like it much better. Your line is so strong that I think you could get most players off of Jx+, and here it comes down to is the guy passive/fearful or is he simply a stone cold calling station?
Fwiw, Villain has just been very passive preflop (i.e. limping pretty much his whole range). He's taken the lead in post-flop situations and folded good hands before showdown, sometime in inexplicable ways (he mucked KK face up on a similar kind of flop in like a 4 way limped pot to 1 player leading out). I've beat him at showdown in a number of pots during the past few hours as well.
Villain also hasn't called 3 streets like this (certainly not against a line this strong in) since I've sat down so I've really got no history on how he might react to my line once I decide to blow-up on the turn.
Agreed if Villain is a station that this play is ridiculous (and that it might be anyway). When I decide to take this line I'm definitely more concerned about getting hero called because of my image, not because Villain simply can't lay down a jack or whatever in this spot.
I also don't think Villain expects me to ever show up with total junk or suited connectors here if that makes a difference. Loose as I've been playing I suspect he's going to put my BB pf raising range as something like big aces, some suited broadways, and 77+ or something like that. I absolutely believe Villain is thinking about stuff like this too, but I'm not sure how intelligently (i.e. if he's putting me on a sensible range or just trying to think of hands I could conceivably have that he can beat).