Should have put your money in toilet paper and purell. Who knew?

Haven't googled but I'm guessing Game of Thrones reference? Heard there was a lot of incest. I mean if I gotta repopulate the planet after the Corona.....

Good news for me though, we (Lion's Club) decided decided not to charge for parking. Just put out a bucket with a sign that says donations are welcome. Weeee

Don't have the album and have realized I've actually only heard 3 songs on it... but all three are on the iPod.

GStreetSpiritwinsoutduetocoolguitarriff,imoG

Anywhere we can bet on coronavirus outcomes?

Also, while I was looking I found -110 for Trump to win the election. Seems like free money to me.

I don't understand the TP hoarding other than the general distaste for using historical substitutes. Seems like the Mart is full of things you cannot substitute for.

@2 weeks ago Globogym removed several of the hand sanitizer dispensers using Titantic Lifeboat logic. Glad to know priests are above the admittedly low bar of gym managers.


Cactus League quietly suspended. Many of the games had been rained out so no throng of dismayed fans lingering about.

I'd be up for some Highland Games and Log Rolling.

Just cling to the bottom.
He may be smarter than he looks. OMC forum said chlorine mix:sanitizer as Durr:RTP

and bottles of chlorine are worth their weight.


I've been on 5x5s for a couple of weeks now and was already wondering if going for a jog would break the wall of broscience. Once or twice is probably okay but I don't like the idea of derailing my progress over an unlikely event that if just as likely to happen regardless.

What's your take?

After wavering for 5 seconds, I think I'm back to my original guesstimate: in a year we'll mostly be wondering what all the fuss was about similar to Y2K. We'll probably all get it but most of us will get over it just like we would any other flu, although obviously worse outcomes for those at real risk (as with anything else).

Gyoucanusethatonmyheadstoneforlol'sifitturnsoutI'm wrongG

I'm wary to make any claims about something I know so little about, but I think people are over-reacting. Although it's easy for me to say I'm not high risk and I'm not close to anyone who's high risk.

I would take the over on 1k US deaths, and the under on 5k, but I'm not very confident either way.

I also claim almost complete ignorance, but...

A quick Google says 12K died of H1N1 in the US and this seems (?) to be worse than that, so I wouldn't be shocked if higher. But whether it even approaches annual car crash related deaths seems debatable, and ain't no one considering stopping driving any time soon.

GcluelessapocalypsenoobG

For me it’s always been

street spirit

But ****ing great album


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

High and Dry, is up there for me too

I would bet against Trump winning. He is historically unpopular, his approval is 43% and that’s with the market booming. Is Biden really that inept of a candidate? I’m speaking purely in terms of electability, not whether or not one personally thinks he would be a good president. I was wrong in 2016 about him but I was in agreement with the 538 model giving him about a 33% chance to win, I wasn’t one of the people who thought he had no chance.

Hard Rock in Tampa looking way emptier than usual tonight. I’m on the fence about cutting back on live poker. I’m not so much concerned about my health, I’m more concerned about being part of the problem and spreading it to others. My SO would definitely have to miss work as she treats older veterans. I really hate playing poker online though and I would be cutting by hourly by like 66% by playing online . I play full time btw, I am not a rec.

Maybe it would make more sense to bet against him then. I didn’t realize his approval was that low. Maybe I’m biased because the people around me seem to like him (or just really dislike Biden).

I tried playing online today and within 5 minutes of fast/fold I wanted to smash my keyboard in. I don’t know what it is about online but losing $1 at 10NL tilts me. I never tilt badly live. If I catch the coronavirus so be it.

Edit: I’m also more concerned about transmitting it to strangers, but I don’t think life should stop because of this.

USA was ranked #1 in H1N1 casualties. However SARS 2003 had @8k fatalities worldwide and none in the USA. I'd say the odds favor this being seen as a minor outbreak compared to others, due to relatively good chances of survivability.

Regarding the Bends by Radiohead.
Pretty nuts to think that it’s maybe not even a top 5 album of theirs (imo).
Probably actually might be #5.
Not even trying to have a hot take even though outrage at my opinion is likely and fine.
My Iron Lung is one of the better songs on that record, along the other few that have been mentioned.

Id think Donnie's handling of this would be disqualifying to be re-elected but remarkably the virus is apparently political. So I guess that's not the case

I too could not care less about any poster's political opinions. But I do care a bit about the gambling odds and suspect Trump is a tiny favorite to be reelected. But if either one is posted as a substantial favorite @60% I would take the odds on the underdog.

Yeah, I wasn’t trying to politard up the chat thread. Strictly curious from a betting perspective.

As things stood a month ago with the economy booming, a slight favorite. with a recession and a cluster**** of a response to a health crisis, a huge underdog.

Our social surroundings are never representative and this is a huge county.

https://www.cougarboard.com/board/me...ml?id=23339777

Notes from a UC San Francisco panel this week: “40-70% of the US population will be infected over the next 12-18 months. After that level you can start to get herd immunity. Unlike flu this is entirely novel to humans, so there is no latent immunity in the global population.

We used their numbers to work out a guesstimate of deaths— indicating about 1.5 million Americans may die. The panelists did not disagree with our estimate. This compares to seasonal flu’s average of 50K Americans per year. Assume 50% of US population, that’s 160M people infected. With 1% mortality rate that's 1.6M Americans die over the next 12-18 months.“

I’m not doubting them, but as a complete lay person, it seems odd to be that something that has only grown linearly so far is a threat to infect half the population. Right now in China they have had like 80,000 cases in a country of 1.4 billion. That’s 1:17,500 people.

Again, if someone who is actually knowledgeable on the topic wants to explain to me why I’m an idiot I’m open to it. I would listen to actual experts over me, but it just seems strange. I understand the concept of exponential growth, but it hasn’t grown exponentially so far.

Without intervention, virus spreads exponentially , in places like Wuhan originally, Italy until recently and Iran. Countries across the world right now are basically self-immolating economically in order to contain the spread and flatten the exponential curve.

China took aggressive measures to isolate the cases, i.e. no travel in or out of Wuhan for anyone. That simply isn't possible in a country without authoritarian rule.

And it has started to grow exponentially in the US. Refer to the first two graphs here:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Bar graph shows that it's doubling every two to four days. 100ish new cases on March 6-8, then 163 new cases March 9, 300ish new cases March 10 and 11, 396 new cases March 12.

Edit to add: Also, keep in mind that the tally of confirmed cases is going to be artificially low in the US. I can say from personal experience that they are not allowing you to get a test unless you are in critical condition and tell the doctor that you came in contact with a confirmed case...at least for my health care provider. They have a limited number of kits available, and they had you do a questionnaire over phone, then a nurse interview, then a doctor interview before they'd agree to set up a test.

One thing to consider is the overlay of demographics in the US is different than China. The US has a high obesity rate, and obesity is supposed to be as bad as smoking. This **** is hitting old smokers hard, so old-ish fatties could be in harm's way too.

IN before bareshelves.jpg from panicked smokers hoarding cigarettes.