Quote:
Originally Posted by AintNoLimit
This is very confusing. You have demonstrated a situation where folding is a must. Tons of situations call for folding. Is this significant to speak of it being a non-raise situation? Of course there is no re-raise range other than AA---- KK maybe. So how is this situation worth bringing up? If i lead out with second pair on J 9 4 and get raised, this is a non 3 bet situation for sure. But thats not relevant to this thread. Right?
To continue my thought before...
This is an example where Hero's range is dominated. It is coincidentally an example where Hero should not be raising, IMO, with his entire range.
And, no actually, this is not a situation where folding is a must.
I chose the bet sizes to hopefully reflect some notion of reality, given the games I experience. I did not specifically choose the numbers to add up for any particular result. But, being this deep gives us options.
By flatting the 4b, even the very best hand reader is going to have a bit of trouble putting Hero on a range. He's never going to be able to eliminate KK+, and he cannot narrow it down much either.
But even against a lessor skilled Villain, flatting here has value.
Villain is OOP. He's feeling pretty good about his hand. He's likely to put in a Cbet on basically all flops.
You can easily set mine with [KK-] since there is 100bb in the pot and its only 35bb to call. You're getting (275+100):35 implied odds. Plenty good enough to set mine, knowing that it is very likely that you will get Villain's stack.
I personally would not continue without a pocket pair here.
You can play KK much the same way Miami played his hand in his PAHWM. Either you can get away without being stacked, or you can eventually sniff out that 1-5% of time where villain doesn't have KK+, and get some additional value. In order to not be stacked by AA, you had to give up some value against KK-.
You don't get something for nothing.
With AA, you're still going to get another street or two or three of value against KK. As I said above, Villain is going to Cbet most likely, so you're going to get at least that bet in... and this will be at least as big as your 5b would have been. IMO, you're not giving up very much EV by not 5b here.