Quote:
Originally Posted by JustAnotherNit
FWIR
Villain seems straight forward for most part.Looser but not to crazy.Has raised limpers from all positions including BB and straddle.Very little 3 betting at table.I'm Tight,have not ****ed around yet.
I have 500+? he has me covered
hand:
possibly 2 limpers,folds to me on button,I raise to 15 with QQ,BB calls,limpers fold.
Flop: JTx r
villain checks,I bet 25 or 30,35? He calls
-I put him on decent Jack or str8 draw
Turn: Ace
Villain checks,I bet 50,Villain rr 100 or 125 more
-Thought about checking.But maybe he could possibly have KJ and I didn't want to give up control of hand.Once he raises obviously it's KQ or AJ.I put him on AJ though.Standard fold I guess.But my question is,is my bet good on turn.It seems good to me.Checking turn and getting bet into on river and folding seems so weak. Obviously the Ace is bad and hits range.I'm only beating KJ on turn.
How often are you check/folding compared to betting that turn?
I'm always very skeptical when I see this type of phrase. Try to explain what you are afraid of in terms if EV. IMO it is a meaningless phrase.
In fact, quite the opposite should be true, where we are actually taking more control by exercising our positional advantage of checking OTT, exploiting an opponent who expects us to bet.
As for the hand, it really comes down to how many Jx and Tx hands he can have. If he doesn't have j5s and the like in his range it is a clear check. He is ahead a tonne, he's not calling with that many worse and the stuff behind doesn't have that much equity.
Betting because you are scared to get bluffed is bad. On the river you just have another decision to make. If he bluffs too much exploit him by callimg, if he plays straightforward exploit him by folding. Easy game.