Quote:
Originally Posted by spikeraw22
Not so fast.
Has he 3 bet preflop yet? That's a huge consideration. The fact that he has played every hand and bluffed post flop does not mean he's 3 betting lightly. Honestly, I'd not be super excited to be putting money in in this spot. Id have to be there to decide. This is not the slam dunk others say it is.
This is a very important consideration, given you read on villain. Most opponents at the low levels are only 3 betting JJ+, and more often than not, they are doing it with AA, KK, and sometimes AK. Nevertheless, you need to consider what other ranges villain may have.
Your read on villain indicates that he may very well be capable of 3 betting light with another pocket pair. Since he's been playing so loose, I would more often than not make the call here. He may have just another pocket pair and realize he's flopped a boat, not considering your holdings here. Villians that are incapable of seeing beyond their own hand strength are Level 1 players, and that means they are playing solely based on their own hand strength.
The only hands you're worried about here are AA, KK, and 5x combinations. You are WAY ahead of the majority of his range. If you do run into these hands, then its a cooler in my mind, and making the call is plus EV given the number of hands you can beat here.