Quote:
Originally Posted by HPAnigma
villan is loose agresive regular
me with 350$
hr has 400$+
he raised 16$ from utg+1 there was a stradle,
i 3bet 52$ with QsQc,
he calls
board 4c5cJc
i bet 60$
he calls
turn 2s
i bet 120$
he raises 240$
(i have like 120$ behind)??
obviuslly i am commited is there a fold here? do i lose here for sure? do i have outs?
my line was very bad? should have cheacked behind for pot control on turn?
My preference is to bet more OTF. You have an over-pair and the third nut flush draw. A significant part of his range is behind you, and most of that calls more. By betting more you extract more value.
Considering a check OTF or a check OTT is monster-under-the-bed-syndrome. It's weak poker because it loses value.
If villain has A
K
, the hand is a gross cooler. What other hands raise UTG+1 and call $52 that flop flushes? You have the Q
so that takes away K
Q
and A
Q
; the J
is on the board. There just aren't that many flushes in the villain's range...
He could have A
T
, A
K
.
He could have AxA
, or Kx:K
.
This part of his range crushes you, and includes 8 combos.
He might also have JJJ. But against JJJ, you aren't very far behind. Three combos there.
Given the preflop action, I doubt he has 44, 55, or a srt8.
But A
Kx is also in his range, and so is A
Qx. It makes sense that he'd shoves with both of these hands because he turned an gunshot to go with this FD and over-card draw. There are 5 combos there.
He might also have AJ. There are 12 combos there.
That's a very tight range. You are crushed by 8 combos, have decent equity against 3 combos, and you are ahead of 17 combos.
By betting OTT you are extracting value because more than 50% of his range is behind you, and he will call with worse.
By checking OTT you lose value because he is willing to call with worse OTT, and a significant part of his range is worse.
This is what I've learned from the Medium-High-Full-Ring regulars.
As played call OTT. But I prefer larger bet sizes OTF and OTT.
EDIT: Other random hands in villain's range might crush you. For instance he might have A
3x. But if you include this hand, then the villain is a fish, so you can also include K
J
.
Last edited by Princess Azula; 10-11-2010 at 01:35 PM.