Originally Posted by chadzilla
Assuming villains are station-ey (which, according to discussion so far, the contributing voices are assuming this) .. Can't we bet 2nd pair for value here? We get calls by a huge range, most of which we beat. {Kx, qt, aj, qj, JT, j9, j8, t9, t8, 7x, TT, 99, 88, all fds} and we get raised by {Kx, kj, JJ, 77, Ak}.
$30 cbet charges draws & gives them improper odds to chase, gets value from worse, folds out some hands with equity (pps that missed a set, Ax) , and sets up an spr to shove turns if draws miss.
I think stacking's reasoning for a bet is terrible, but I don't think the action necessarily is.
I think it's closer than people are saying it is. Seems as though this is an auto-check for people because we're 5 ways with an overcard.