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Please help me with idiot opponent modelling Please help me with idiot opponent modelling

10-29-2018 , 12:10 PM
In the live game I play, most of the opponents are just plainly super bad poker players (aka idiots)
While I am on one hand very pleased with this (when looking at my winrate), on other occasions, it just drives me crazy/mad, how stupid these guys are in different ways.

Now, why should I even care?
The obv. reason #1 is that it hurts when you have a losing session or lose AA to an idiot calling with 42o. Or when their stupidity outplays you in other ways.
Only recently did I figure out reason #2:
I do opponent modelling in my head all the time, and I am really having a hard time including most of their plays into a model that makes any sense. There has to be some logic to it, right!?

The main (but by far not the only) problems are to understand why/when they
. Open limp everything
. overcall preflop with 30-50% ranges
. never 3bet
. call the flop with virtually any kind of equity (down to a low gutshot)
. fold most Turns
. min-raise when they have the nuts (while others min-raise top pair)
. fail to protect by betting only 25-30% pot
. raise the turn with the nuts
. Limp-raise Monsters

If I had a $ every time I see a stupid play like these, I would be a millionaire already.

Now, I would very much appreciate comments regarding
1. My mindset in this (profitable but stressful) situation
2. How to better model different types of stupid plays/players
10-29-2018 , 12:53 PM
Too broad a question for this forum.

You should be able to answer all of those on your own, anyway.
10-29-2018 , 01:33 PM
Modeling for common live players here.
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