Quote:
Originally Posted by AAJTo
pre: In general the deeper you are the better it is to play sc's from EP. Its great that you are aware that fishy V3 is in the BB but the fact that she has an extremely wide range and a 50bb stack is working against you and she will have a lot of hands that call in the BB that most people won't play but will have your 8 high crushed. Given other reads I don't think the open is that bad overall since you aren't going to get blown off your hand by aggro 3 betters and you're likely to get a few more calls along the way but I'd still say this open is slight -EV.
flop: I see this over and over again on this site. H plays a bit of a speculative hand (given the situation) and hits the god tier 1% flop and plays it passive. If I get this board for 100bb stacks I am finding every way I can to get the money in. If you raise you fold out a huge assortment of hands that have you beat (2 people in the hand play Ace rag offsuit), the vast majority of the time you get called its going to be a top pair hand where we are close to even money.
Raise to 50-60 on the flop, if you get a call behind its a poorly played AQo type hand or the nut FD or another combo draw since 90% of the time 2 pair or better never calls flop raises on a FD board. V3 is going to stack off with any ace but is short. If you get a call jam turn for 140 and every hand I just mentioned has a decent chance to fold and if not you still got a pile of equity.
This is a very good post, thank you for taking the time. Your take on pre-flop is noted. I have been working on tightening up my EP opening range (cutting out "fun" suited hands, offsuit broadways, and baby pairs) but I'm obviously not all the way there. Important consideration regarding BB's range too. If she calls $10 with J8o, opening 78s becomes a lot less attractive. On the flip side, she will miss a lot of flops and check fold... but then again this isn't online 6max, where my open raise will get me heads up with BB a lot of time. Almost always going to be cold callers here.
Raise flop and jam turn at this stack depth makes sense. The fact that a small percentage of the time I am drawing dead here four ways doesn't matter that much when I play in such an aggressive manner. And even then, it's only 100bb and it's still a good move in the long run.
Also I know you are being hyperbolic to make a very good point but I do want to mention that this is absolutely not a top 1% flop for my hand lol. Suited hands flop a flush .8% of the time, direct connected cards flop a straight 1.5% of the time, odds of flopping two pair are 2%, etc. plus there are better combo draw (incl. Top Pair + Flush draw, straight flush draw, etc.) boards.