Quote:
Originally Posted by venice10
Raising on the flop is extremely -EV. If the villain is terri-bad, then your range is AK after a raise. You'll get QQ and JJ to fold, but you'll also get 55-TT to fold, which what you don't want to happen. Kx is never folding with this villain's description.
I disagree, and this is where past hand history makes a huge difference.
Does villain double barrel with strong hands or with weaker holding?
Does villain bet big on her second barrel?
Will she lead on the river if she has a strong hand after a check through turn, or will she bluff with medium hand after checked through turn?
These are the questions that I'll be asking before making my decision, and against an unknown, I just can't be comfortable going to the river if I don't know these answers.
So I guess yes, I like folding in this spot, too, but I don't like laying down this hand to a player of her description.
I am min-raising on the flop because it will spaz-out a lot of bad players, and in most cases, I have also set the turn price, because I can check behind the turn.
So if villain has Kx, she's probably going to re-raise big here, allowing me to end the bleed at this spot.
If she flats, I am checking behind the turn if she checks.
River is case-by-case, but I am likely to value bet light if she checks, and likely to call if the bet is around 1/3 - 1/2.
Either way, because this player is considered reckless by the description, I like a more conservative line.