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This hand probably would have played out the exact same way. If Villain #1 was willing to limp/call preflop, he probably would have flatted your opening raise too. Maybe Villain #2 would have 3-bet his AK or AQ, but if he just flats then you have the same size pot + initiative, so likely you are going to be making the same bet on the flop and Villain #1 is going to take the same strategy of flatting the flop and coming to life on the turn.
If I made it $10 pre-flop and Villain #1 called and Villain #2 raised and we both called. Then I doubt #1 would have slow played his set on the flop. Even if #2 didn't 3-bet, #1 would know, from my open raise, that I had a premium hand. AJ at the worst. That means he can put a raise in there on the flop and expect that either I or #2 might call or even re-raise the J - 8 - 2 board. At that point, I would have gone from doubling up to losing a small pot.
I'd say me open raising pre-flop is 50% likely to change the hand from win to loss.
By making it seem like I didn't have that much, I kept Villain #1 from playing his flopped set fast - allowing me to catch up. Do you really think he would have just called on the flop if he thought I had QQ or AJ?
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And I don't think flatting your flop bet was necessarily a mistake on his part.
I knew this was going to be misinterpreted. My bad. I meant "mistake" in an objective sense. If he had all the information about the hand ahead of time.
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The board had no draws, and you were unlikely to have much better than what you actually had at that point, which wouldn't be able to stand a raise. You don't want to force out 2-outers - you want to keep them around and see if you can get more value from them on later streets.
No draws? You mean, besides T9, right?
Speaking non-objectively, how would he know or assume that I have a 2-outer on the flop? And if he did know, why would he think he can get more out of me on the turn? Let's assume, for a moment, that he knows I have TT
and my playing style. If I don't improve, I'm 85% of the time going to check it down or fold. Sure, 15% of the time I might bluff if there's a scare card, but then again - he doesn't know what I have. I might have T9 too.
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oh dear
put more money in the pot when you're ahead. This isn't hard.
I don't consider TT to be all that far ahead of AK / AQ and a random hand (even if it is 22) pre-flop. Unless I'm going to play TT like a huge pair tournament style. I need to see the flop first. And even then... nothing's for certain.
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So in your opinion basing your play off 2 outing a flopped set is not being results oriented, but unorthodox. Hmm. I would hate to see results oriented thinking then.
If we count 2 outing a flopped set on the turn, then we have to count him 2 outing a flopped set to begin with and Villain #2 not 6 outing his overcards. And the flop not giving me an open-ended straight draw or three Jacks or giving either Villain quads.
Yes, every particular hand seen under a microscope is going to seem results oriented. What I'm trying to say is that there are other ways to play a hand besides whatever your strategy is.
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Hopefully you'll hear what a lot of people are saying. TT is a good preflop hand which doesn't play particularly well multiway unless you flop a set.
You don't know ahead of time that someone in the blinds is going to raise. If everyone just calls, you're wasting a good hand to setmine in a tiny pot.
So next time, just raise. If you get 3b at 1/2, you fold unless you're getting odds to setmine.
Yes, I hear. I've taken it in.
I have enjoyed the opinions of those who posted. Perhaps the probability wave has been subtly altered in my little section of the matrix. If so, then thanks for that. But, keep in mind, I did not post this hand specifically looking for a critique of what I did wrong or what I could have done better. This is not a purely advice-seeking thread. This is PAHWM. So, I hope you are not offended if I reject some or all of an individual's subjective wisdom.
VS