Quote:
Originally Posted by MikeStarr
So, we have 2 guys so far who want to jam $860 into the $440 pot?
Maybe they didnt see that the BB covers me?
You have the effective nuts against the whale who by definition should be far less sensitive to bet sizing (aka inelastic calling range, aka fe is near constant) which means you maximize EV the more you bet. It’s particularly effective on a board/hand like this where choosing a smaller turn bet size (without the absolute nuts) just lets the whale show up with air/new nuts on the river for a discount.
Obviously bet sizing is a complicated issue, but this isn’t a ‘want to bet more hands for thin value so size smaller yada yada’ spot. Even the ‘online guy’ above who knows his stuff is not going to have much experience w whales who can call off/make 6x psbs at whim. Too much perceived FE creeps in with such bets, but often there isn’t any, so again the best bet size when FE is constant/near zero is going to be all-in.
Clearly any line other than fold makes money before the river, but there is a lot going on here and gii pre-river is a priority.