Quote:
Originally Posted by Perrone66
As played
Hero checks the turn, Villian bets $60 into the 80 dollar pot.
Hero's move?
So Villain has a hand, probably a big Ace or better. Assuming
JJ, 99, AQs-A9s, KsTs, Ts8s, AQo-A9o
you have 40% equity so calling is mandatory based on pot odds alone
If we assume he slow-played AK PF, which is entirely possible, then we have 48%.
Add J9s then we get 50%
Still can't see any benefit to check-raising, though, as the range he calls us with will be crushing ours.
If a spade comes on the river, then I am going to bet half-pot, and hope to get a crying call. Villain has only one combo of a FD that beats us, and that would be K
T
If you fill-up, try betting bigger to get a call from a straight, or a big ace, by making it look like you missed your draw. Depends on how this guy reacts to bet sizes, so maybe make it smaller. A big one would be default though. If he has a bigger full-house, you get stacked no matter what.
Any Ace, King, 10 or 9, is a check-fold, unless he makes a super small bet.
Any other card, is a check-call depending on bet size. Hopefully Villain checks behind. In fact, you could consider folding if he bets a blank river.