Quote:
Originally Posted by PokahBlows
I agree my biggest problem on the forums is that people don't understand me. I too play a lot on feel with math probabilities included. Which is the reason why I'm light years ahead of the average "lol,live reg". I didn't mean to totally disagree with jack. But when your opponent is basically pot committed and he doesn't know. You don't have to bet for thin value because your going to get looked up regardless due to stack size's.
Well, it's a start because at least your providing some reasoning... but again, please just drop the whole holier than thou crap... Anyway, sure, if villain is pot-committed we can value-bet thinner because he can't fold (if we think he has a weak range), but I also think you're ignoring 2 major premises here.
1) a lot of live low stakes players don't understand pot-committment, SPRs, thresholds, pot-odds, etc. How often do you see a dude call off half his stack just to fold a blank river on a board he couldn't possibly have had a missed draw?
2) maybe this is a product of you playing low bb games, but dude, where are you getting it in your head that every hand has to end in an all in? betting thin can be on a single street for $10, it doesn't have to be a bet that puts the guy all in. Betting thin can occur anywhere, for any amount of money, at any stage in pot-committment. If anything, the mere psychological aspect of being put "all in" for $50 is more fearing than putting $50 in the pot when they have $200 behind or there's another card to come. But yes, if you're betting on the river with an over-pair and the dude has <half pot-sized bet left OTR, this isn't really "thin value betting" due to committment, sure, I'll give you this.
Easy example of thin value betting that has no relevance to all-ins or pot-commitments:
Effective stacks $200, I raise OTB to $10 with 8
9
, BB calls. Flop 2
2
3
, villain checks, I bet $15, he calls. Turn: 3
, villain checks, I check back. River is an 8
, villain checks, and I bet $25. Is he committed? of course not. Do we beat his range? Yes. Simple analysis: He has a lot of A-high/weak PPs, 3bets pre with good PPs, raises flop a lot with 2x/33 (and doesn't have many 2x pre), and leads river with anything beating us most of the time because it looks like we're gonna check it back. A lot of people would check here in hero's shoes because it looks like he can have a missed draw a lot and might have a scared 2 or whatever the hell the reason is. We don't check, because LLS players call us light, and when he calls us with A
4
thinking we'd never bet AK and have to be bluffing here, we make money. There is nothing close to an all in happening here.