I know this is the mother of all draws and its probably a stupid question but heres a situation from last night.


In a passive 2/5 live game (lots of limping) I get Q9 hearts on the button. EP is the big stack kind of LAGGY but not a maniac limps, MP limps, Hijack( short stack supper laggy maniacal idiot) limps, I limp and the blinds limp 5 to the flop.




Flop comes 678 with two hearts of course. Blinds check Big stack LAG in EP BETS 15 Hijack Maniac RAISES TO 64 and is ALL IN and I tank.


My thoughts: EP could have as little as a pair eights here and maniac could have as little as low OESD or a pair and a backdoor heart draw or some stupid **** like that. Blinds probably dont have ****, it costs me 64 to win about 100 which is a little over 1.5 to 1 odds if EP folds, and 2.5 to 1 odds if EP calls. On the presumption that EP will call about 50% of the time and I'll be a favorite 90% of the time, I call.





Everyone folds and Maniac flips over A5 offsuit with 5 of hearts. River is a 9 pairing me and making his straight. MAniac scoops 164 from the middle.




Thoughts on my play and rationale?

I don't think EP calls 50% of the time.

Your play is fine and totally standard.

It can be wrong to stack off with OESD, FD, two overs, in certain situations btw, but very rarely and this is not one of those cases.

My mistake was assuming ep calls a fair amount of the time I guess. Even if EP folds out of turn I still don't think I can find a fold in THIS spot against THIS guy. I have to be at least 60-40 most of the time here.