1/3. Hero is on button, villain is in big blind, there is a straddle to 6.
Hero (400ish) has been folding lots of hands, but doesn't expect the table to notice because old bitter lady has been harping every time he takes down a pot uncontested.
Villain (350ish) has a history with hero. Two weeks ago, made a huge river all-in where lots of draws hit, ended up getting called by hero who had a set, and lost. Normally villain plays very straightforward. Today however, he was seen double-barreling on a bluff when he noticed hesitation on the flop (he explained, genuinely, that when he saw hesitation on the flop call, he decided he could probably take it down with a larger bet on the turn).
One straddle caller in MP, hero is on the button with QQ, makes it 20, only villain calls.
Flop comes Tx7d3x rainbow, villain checks, hero bets 25, villain checkraises 40 more, hero calls.
Turn comes Td putting diamond draw out there, villain bets 50, hero calls.
River comes Kd, villain shoves like 200 more. Hero folds quickly.
Thoughts on all streets? I bet the flop smaller because it was dry. I called the turn because now I know he's capable of double-barrelling, and maybe he has a pocket pair. But honestly with the checkraise, what can I beat other than JJ on the turn? He's not checkraising with 2nd pair. I think when the T hits the turn, I'm screwed, and the King on the river was just gravy for folding.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Hustle247
How many buy-ins are needed for a bankroll to play 2-5 LLSNL? What is the largest downswing that you think we should expect to see before we need to really start looking at our game critically as it is most likely the problem?
I am a strong proponent of the idea that you should be looking at your game critically after a 0 buyin downswing.
(There is no cookie cutter answer to that question because of variance, and the fact that you'll probably know to some degree when you're losing because of skill factor rather than luck.)