Quote:
Originally Posted by Vancouver
Line check: 2/5, seven handed
HJ ($1000) opens to $15, SB ($2000) calls, BB (Hero, $500) calls with K J
HJ just sat down, no reads.
SB plays a lot of hands, limp-calls some, raises some. Saw him donk a handful of times in SRPs on the turn/river after calling a c-bet on the flop OOP.
Saw him cold-call K7 from the SB in a MW 3-bet pot. He check-shoved his NFD on A K T facing a bet (from the other PF caller) and raise (by the PF 3-bettor).
Flop ($45): A T 7
SB checks, BB/Hero checks ($485 behind), HJ bets $35, SB raises to $135, Hero..
Preflop:
I chose the passive route of calling. If I 3-bet, I think SB comes along. Wasn't sure if I wanted to bloat the pot with this hand. Do you ever 3-bet? If so, why and to what size?
Flop:
Do you guys flat here or rip it in? Apparently, I have 40% equity versus sets and two pairs although I didn't know this at the time.
Not 3-bet-squeezing preflop makes the baby Jesus cry. Make it $75 to go: 4x for the in-position opener plus one more for the idiot flatcaller.
On the flop, notice that the As and Ts are on the board and the Ks and Js are in our hand. This cuts dramatically into the number of flush draws the other players can have. As you describe SB, they can have Qs9s or maybe even Qs8s, and connectors Ts9s and below. So this weights both villain's ranges towards value hands of some sort. We block, somewhat, AK and AJ.
Usually with a big combo draw we are faced with the problem of drawing to a big but non-nutted hand. If we rip it in and get called, we get called by value hands but sometimes by bigger flush draws. Here both our flush and gutshot draws are to the nuts. Once again, this weighs a villain's calling range if we rip to value hands, made hands.
Assuming someone has a set or two pair, if we flat, we are just barely getting the right price to continue, although if the HJ decides to come along we get a juicy overlay. If they jam, of course, we are calling, whether or not Gambles the Clown, in the SB, comes along for the ride. But if we flat and miss the turn, we are facing the prospect of getting the rest of our money in at a disadvantage.
Do you think the SB is going to fold very often if we shove? If we have any fold equity at all, then jamming is the clear choice. If they aren't folding, it seems closer to me, but shoving eliminates tough decisions later in the hand.
One very special situation happens if the SB is holding exactly Qs9s and the HJ folds: we are a big favorite in the hand, because the SB is a 3:1 dog with their pair draw; and the villain as you describe them is never,
ever folding an OESFD to our jam.