Quote:
Originally Posted by Moke
We need to know his raise c-bet , altough it seems good against a LAG.
We don't need to know his raise CB % to get it in here since there aren't many hands in his range that will flat this flop.
All we need to know is that we have a big overpair with a backdoor flush draw on a somewhat coordinated 8-high flop.
If stacks were deeper then we'd need to consider some line other than just jamming, but here the times he has 44/77/88/65s/87 will be offset by the times he has overs+FD, overs+SD or 99-QQ.
Off the top of my head I'd say we have about 60% equity vs. his likely range, which makes this a no-brainer shove.