Quote:
Originally Posted by mackwoods11
Hello all. This was a hand I played at live ½ NLH last night.
Context: I am a 21 year old winning poker player, particularly since I began playing live in 9/2017. I do not play that often as I am a student and work a summer gig. Prior to turning 21, I put in a lot of hands in microstakes online. This context is important because many times, solid players have a perception they can run me over with aggression, being a young guy. Villain is a TAG solid possible pro player, late 20's. Villain and I begin hand with similar stack sizes of about $320.
Action folds to V who raises $10 in middle position. Folds to hero in BB who calls with K 7.
Flop: 9 2 9
Hero checks, V bets $15, hero calls $15
(Pot $45 after max rake)
Turn: J
Hero checks, V checks.
River: J
Hero bets $30, V tanks and raises to $80, hero calls $50 after a brief tank.
V mucks, I ask if he had a small pair, which he concedes to.
Instead of commenting my thoughts on how I played it, you can tell me what I did wrong. Thank you!
Hey OP.
Firstly, I think I'd just fold to 5x. Possible pro player is making it 5x and folds to you. You're only getting 13:8 on a call preflop (even before rake), and it'll be hard to make money post w/ this hand. You can opt to play hands like this against fishier opponents.
Obviously flop call is good. You flopped decent, you could have the best hand, etc.
River I'm torn. I mean, we have the K so that makes less KJ possible. But really, there's no reason to believe this player type doesn't have a Jack here. People check call 9x all of the time to "slowplay", so he has a lot of incentive to check back a turned Jack.
So from there, he can have AJ (8), KJ (6), QJs (2), JTs (2). And obviously could've trapped turn with a big hand like JJ (1) or 99 (1). So that's 20 value combos.
So you're getting 3:1 on a call here. But the problem is, you can't just "count the bluffs". Because we say he raises 88/77/66/etc as a bluff (totally plausible hands as well), then we have a snap call. But if we're bluffing here to get him off slightly better (Ax) or a chop, who's to say he doesn't bluff raise those hands as well? I would rather check this hand since we have some showdown value, and then make a decision against a bet.