Quote:
Originally Posted by venice10
The only hand you're repping on the turn with a raise is a FH. You have to get folds 42% of the time to make it pay off. I don't think you get the UTG to fold that often. I don't think a bad player can fold trip kings that often. You're offering him over 4:1 to call and he essentially odds to call, even if you do have the FH with trip kings.
As played, spew.
Although I was certainly more concerned with UTG than with the CO, I didn't raise to try to get UTG to fold a K. In fact, if he called the minraise I wasn't planning to put any more money into the pot unless I spiked a 6 on the river. Rather, I was trying to get him to fold any other hand better than mine (QQ/JJ/TT/A8s/99/77), especially since I was hoping that my small raise looked suspiciously like a hand that wants callers.
Once the turn brought the second K I was no longer concerned with the CO, since I could not imagine him checking behind on the flop with AA/AK. Since the board pairing made it extremely unlikely that he was holding the case Kings, I put him on either AQ or an underpair, and I had no doubt that he would fold to my raise, given his fairly nitty nature.
FWIW, I actually think that my overcall of the preflop 3-bet was spewier than the turn raise.
Last edited by DrChesspain; 04-18-2013 at 11:47 PM.