[LOW] A/K off facing an overbet on the river
Join Date: Oct 2022
Posts: 2
1/2 home game sitting about ~700 deep, v is effective with 450
Read on V from many sessions played together, he's a very loose splashy player, overvalues marginal hands and plays very loose preflop
Hero - AhKs in MP,
V opens for 5, one caller in mp, and hero raises to 17
V calls and mp folds and the flop is JhQh4 and V donks for 30
Donk makes me put him on a draw or weak top pair, and QQ+JJ would 4b from this opponent removing some value combos
Turn is Ac Pot: $99
V bets $45 H calls
River is Qc Pot: $180
V bets $215 H: ???
Lmk your thoughts
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 3,616
Way too small pre. You are losing.
Join Date: Oct 2019
Posts: 110
it's time to make an aggressive call.
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 2,500
Preflop to $25 or $30
Large donk equals big hand usually. K10 also hit. I fold flop having only 4 clean outs facing a PSB after rake.
Relative size of turn is smaller, calling turn
By river bet pattern looks like he has q9 or better. Only hand you beat is J10 or small pocket pair other than 44lead out for psb on flop. Folding river and feeling good about it.
Join Date: Jun 2012
Posts: 2,007
I think you should raise the flop 100% of the time with the Ah, with the intent to triple-barrel.
As played I think the River is a very easy fold. It’s an overbet and you have one of the worst hands you can ever have in this spot. (The only worse hands you could ever get to the River with here are, what, KK or AJ/AT?)
Join Date: Oct 2022
Posts: 2
Agreed with the fold takes in the moment, I fold and V never revealed what he had but felt pretty good about it.